Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 25

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254


	ACR Messina		Latina

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	2.1	2.95	3.3
	2.17	2.97	3.81
	2.18	3.09	3.55
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.14	3.4	3.24	Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.28)	3.04 ↓ (3.08)	3.39 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
42.9%

Draw
30.1%

Latina
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

30.6%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Latina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latina than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

ACR Messina - Latina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Lia D. 44. Dumbravanu D. 15. Marino A. 3. Ingrosso G. 4. Garofalo V. 37. Buchel M. 23. Crimi M. 16. Petrucci D. 18. Luciani P. 11. Tordini M.	16. Zacchi G. (G) 13. Marenco F. 4. Crescenzi L. 3. Vona E. 27. Saccani M. 23. Gatto E. 25. Petermann D. 2. Ercolano E. 77. Bocic M. 9. Mastroianni F. 45. Ekuban J.
Substitutes
25. Adragna G. 31. Anzelmo D. 24. Chiarella M. 90. Costantino R. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 77. Dell'Aquila F. 9. De Sena C. 14. Gyamfi B. 5. Mame Ass N. 40. Morichelli R. 20. Morleo U. 28. Pedicillo L. 30. Vicario J.	33. Basti M. (G) 20. Berman T. 6. Ciko S. 21. Cittadino A. 54. Di Giovannantonio G. 57. Marchi D. 39. Motolese M. 8. Ndoj E. 1. Pannozzo N. (G) 92. Scravaglieri M. 55. Segat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Lia D. 🟨,
4', 0 - 1, Petermann D. ⚽,
7', Ekuban J. 🟨,
10', Crescenzi L. 🟨,
18', Petrucci D. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Luciani P. ⚽,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Petrucci D. ↓, Costantino R. ↑,
46', Gatto E. ↓, Ciko S. ↑,
46', Lia D. ↓, Gyamfi B. ↑,
66', Ingrosso G. 🟨,
71', Luciani P. ↓, De Sena C. ↑,
71', Tordini M. ↓, Pedicillo L. ↑,
73', Petermann D. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Garofalo V. ⚽,
80', Saccani M. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
84', Gyamfi B. 🟨,
87', Buchel M. ↓, Morichelli R. ↑,
90', Ercolano E. ↓, Di Giovannantonio G. ↑,
90+4', Ciko S. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 2.

ACR Messina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Latina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
25.01.25	Casertana - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
20.01.25	ACR Messina - Crotone	0:2 ✺
11.01.25	Taranto - ACR Messina	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	ACR Messina - Audace Cerignola	1:3 ✺
22.12.24	Potenza - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWLL
- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
26.01.25	Latina - Avellino	0:3 ✺
19.01.25	Foggia - Latina	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Latina - Turris	4:1 ✺
05.01.25	Latina - Taranto	3:1 ✺
21.12.24	Casertana - Latina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
25.09.24	Latina - ACR Messina	1:1
16.03.24	Latina - ACR Messina	1:1
12.11.23	ACR Messina - Latina	0:3
25.02.23	Latina - ACR Messina	0:2
22.10.22	ACR Messina - Latina	4:1
27.03.22	ACR Messina - Latina	1:0
20.11.21	Latina - ACR Messina	1:0

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