The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ADO Den Haag 46.7%
Draw 24.4%
Excelsior 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
25%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
24.9%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADO Den Haag's performance.
Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excelsior might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADO Den Haag that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excelsior could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
25%
16.7%
ADO Den Haag - Excelsior Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Excelsior will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Den Haag: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Coremans T. (G) 2. Van Der Sloot S. 18. Esajas S. 4. Waem M. 5. Sylla S. 25. Kilo J. 8. Vlak J. 7. van Mieghem D. 10. Schalk A. (C) 11. Ideho J. 9. Bonis L.
40. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. (C) 4. Warmerdam D. 12. Zagre A. 23. Hatenboer C. 20. Hartjes L. 15. Naujoks N. 7. Fini S. 21. Donkor J. 9. Omorowa R.
Substitutes
36. Boakye R. 34. Does K. 3. Granli D. 15. Hokke M. 22. Lourens D. 27. Struick R. 29. Van de Riet D. (G) 1. Wentges H. (G)
33. Armantrading J. 22. de Almeida Reis J. 32. de Moes S. 24. Eijgenraam J. 38. Kuiper P. (G) 18. Loeffen S. 28. Middendorp S. 34. Seymor S. 29. van Duinen M. 31. Zandbergen V.
Coaches
Kalezic D.
den Uil R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Naujoks N. ⚽, Zagre A. (A),
41', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Waem M. ↓, Granli D. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Omorowa R. ⚽, Naujoks N. (A),
63', 0 - 3, Hatenboer C. ⚽, Naujoks N. (A),
64', Fini S. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
66', Vlak J. 🟨,
68', Schalk A. ↓, Lourens D. ↑,
72', Hartjes L. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
72', Bronkhorst I. ↓, de Almeida Reis J. ↑,
74', Sylla S. ↓, Boakye R. ↑,
81', Omorowa R. ↓, Armantrading J. ↑,
81', Donkor J. ↓, Middendorp S. ↑,
82', 0 - 4, van Duinen M. ⚽, Armantrading J. (A),
85', Esajas S. ↓, Hokke M. ↑,
85', van Mieghem D. ↓, Struick R. ↑,
88', 0 - 5, Armantrading J. ⚽, de Almeida Reis J. (A),
89', Hokke M. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Den Haag won 1.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Recently Den Haag have a series of home games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Excelsior: Duijvestijn L.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Excelsior: Pierie K.
(Foot Injury)
Sanches Fernandes D.
(Ankle Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Den Haag won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 42-38.
Including matches at home between the teams Den Haag won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-20.
Netherlands
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Coremans T. (G) 
Waem M. 
Sylla S. 
Kilo J. 
Bonis L. 
Widell C. (C) 
Zagre A. 
Fini S. 
Does K. 
Granli D. 
Struick R. 
Kalezic D. 
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