The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
MVV Maastricht 14.7%
Draw 19.1%
Excelsior 66.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
15%
19.2%
65.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.3%
18.3%
69%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
MVV Maastricht - Excelsior Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Maastricht (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Excelsior has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Excelsior may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Excelsior as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Maastricht has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:25 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Maastricht against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).