The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior 45.1%
Draw 24.5%
De Graafschap 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
24.7%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
23.9%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Excelsior - De Graafschap Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Graafschap will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. (C) 4. Warmerdam D. 12. Zagre A. 23. Hatenboer C. 20. Hartjes L. 11. Uddenas O. 15. Naujoks N. 21. Donkor J. 17. Omorowa R.
16. Wieggers T. (G) 22. Fortes J. 14. Hardeman J. 20. Hillen R. 5. Schoppema L. 23. Brittijn P. 8. Warmerdam D. 31. Bisselink S. 26. Seuntjens R. 7. van Gilst T. 15. van de Haar J.
Substitutes
33. Armantrading J. 22. de Almeida Reis J. 32. de Moes S. 24. Eijgenraam J. 38. Kuiper P. (G) 18. Loeffen S. 31. Luijendijk M. 25. Middendorp S. 29. van Duinen M.
2. Buttner G. 9. Eduardo Y. 30. El Kadiri I. 43. Jonkers R. (G) 6. Kaak L. 12. Kremers S. (G) 10. Mahi M. 52. Symons K. 42. Wevers S. 4. Willemsen M. 34. Yadir A.
Coaches
den Uil R.
Vreman J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Zagre A. ⚽,
22', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', Bisselink S. ↓, El Kadiri I. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Donkor J. ⚽, Naujoks N. (A),
64', Warmerdam D. 🟨,
65', Donkor J. ↓, Armantrading J. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Omorowa R. ⚽, Bronkhorst I. (A),
71', Omorowa R. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
71', Bronkhorst I. ↓, de Almeida Reis J. ↑,
71', Hartjes L. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
72', van Gilst T. ↓, Eduardo Y. ↑,
72', van de Haar J. ↓, Mahi M. ↑,
72', Seuntjens R. ↓, Buttner G. ↑,
80', Zagre A. ↓, de Moes S. ↑,
84', Eijgenraam J. 🟨,
90+1', Hatenboer C. ↓, Middendorp S. ↑,
90+3', van Duinen M. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 1, Brittijn P. ⚽, Mahi M. (A),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 0.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Recently Excelsior have a series of guest games.
Excelsior will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Excelsior: Duijvestijn L.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Excelsior: Pierie K.
(Foot Injury)
Sanches Fernandes D.
(Ankle Injury)
Seymor S.
(Foot Injury)
de Moes S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in De Graafschap: Colyn S.
(Knee Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-25.
Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.
Netherlands
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Raatsie C. (G) 
Widell C. (C) 
Zagre A. 
Donkor J. 
Fortes J. 
El Kadiri I. 
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