Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: WerkTalent Stadion (Den Haag)

Referee: Higler D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 3, ESPN Extra


	ADO Den Haag		Helmond Sport

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.5	5.75	Watch
	1.51	4	5.5
	1.49	4.45	5.9
	1.5	4.62	6.11
	1.52	3.97	6.30	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.5
	1.49	4.5	5.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)	4.28 ↓ (4.57)	5.86 ↑ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO Den Haag
62.2%

Draw
21.8%

Helmond Sport
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

20.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

19.5%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Den Haag (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: ADO Den Haag will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ADO Den Haag will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nikiema K. (G) 26. de Ruijter I. 15. Hokke M. 4. Waem M. 18. Sylla S. 2. van der Sloot S. 25. Kilo J. 14. Jimenez M. 8. Vlak J. (C) 21. Peupion C. 19. Reischl L.	1. Bergsen M. (G) 24. Et Taibi A. 3. Van Den Eynden F. (C) 4. Koglin B. 27. Absalem A. 22. Dizdarevic A. 8. Llonch P. 26. Makanza N. 36. Leipold A. 16. Lukowicz M. 11. Daneels L.
Substitutes
. Bal J. . Bergtop P. 30. Brandt J. 16. de Bruin F. 29. Kramer C. (G) . Lanquetin P. 12. Lejoly A. (G) 31. Payne D. 11. Rottier E. 49. Silva-Richards R. 27. Thomas N. 45. Tomas D.	23. Aben K. (G) 9. Bajrami L. 34. Essakkati T. 47. Geerts D. 41. Geerts J. 19. Ingason H. 6. Ludwig M. 2. Ogenia J. 5. Poll T. . Vos D. 21. Wentges H. (G)
Coaches
Peter R.	Seegers J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Vlak J. (Pen),
36', Jimenez M. 🟨,
45+2', Hokke M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jimenez M. ↓, de Bruin F. ↑,
66', Peupion C. ↓, Thomas N. ↑,
67', Makanza N. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
72', Dizdarevic A. ↓, Ludwig M. ↑,
73', Reischl L. ↓, Bal J. ↑,
73', Kilo J. ↓, Silva-Richards R. ↑,
74', Thomas N. 🟨,
83', Daneels L. 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Vlak J. (Pen),
86', Leipold A. ↓, Poll T. ↑,
86', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
88', Hokke M. ↓, Tomas D. ↑,
88', Ogenia J. 🟨,
90', 2 - 0, de Ruijter I. ⚽, Bal J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Den Haag has had a series of home games.

In this match, Den Haag is the team to beat.

There are questionable in Den Haag: van Mieghem D. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Den Haag won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

ADO Den Haag - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.38%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO Den Haag
Club Friendly
22.08.25	ADO Den Haag - Zwolle	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.08.25	Jong Utrecht - ADO Den Haag	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	ADO Den Haag - Willem II	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.25	ADO Den Haag - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:3 ✺
29.07.25	ADO Den Haag - OFI	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWLT
- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.08.25	Helmond Sport - Emmen	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Waalwijk - Helmond Sport	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Helmond Sport - Roda	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Helmond Sport - AE Kifisia	0:1 ✺
29.07.25	Gemert - Helmond Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.01.25	ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport	3:1
25.11.24	Helmond Sport - ADO Den Haag	2:1
12.04.24	ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport	0:1
01.12.23	Helmond Sport - ADO Den Haag	3:2
28.04.23	ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport	2:2
28.10.22	Helmond Sport - ADO Den Haag	2:1
08.04.22	ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport	2:1

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