Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond)

Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	Helmond Sport		Emmen

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.95
	1.88	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.91	3.75	3.99
	2.19	3.04	3.51	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3
	1.85	3.6	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.38)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	3.59 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helmond Sport
46.7%

Draw
27.1%

Emmen
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.9%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Helmond Sport's performance.

Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emmen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	9.5%	4.8%

Helmond Sport - Emmen Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Emmen will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 70.7% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Helmond Sport will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (G) 24. Et Taibi A. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 4. Koglin B. 27. Absalem A. 8. Llonch P. 22. Dizdarevic A. 26. Makanza N. 36. Leipold A. 16. Lukowicz M. 11. Daneels L.	38. Unbehaun L. (G) 22. Beukers D. 24. Mesbahi J. 6. Mulder P. (C) 17. Larsen L. 25. Kongolo R. 4. Ostergaard C. 19. Claridge A. 11. Amadin N. 9. Postema R. 12. Quispel F.
Substitutes
23. Aben K. (G) 9. Bajrami L. 34. Essakkati T. 47. Geerts D. 41. Geerts J. 19. Ingason H. 6. Ludwig M. 2. Ogenia J. 5. Poll T. 21. Wentges H. (G)	34. Bolk G. 1. Bucker K. (G) 15. de Haan S. 18. Evina F. 5. Geypens T. 16. Norder K. (G) 21. Nunumete D. 23. Oostra T. 2. Soares J. 14. van Manen S. 3. Vos D.
Coaches
Seegers J.	van Dam M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Daneels L. (Pen),
22', 1 - 0, Daneels L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Makanza N. 🟨,
68', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
68', Dizdarevic A. ↓, Poll T. ↑,
68', Absalem A. ↓, Ludwig M. ↑,
73', Beukers D. ↓, Evina F. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Lukowicz M. ⚽, Ogenia J. (A),
79', Amadin N. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
86', Daneels L. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
86', Kongolo R. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
90', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 1.

Emmen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Helmond Sport is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Emmen: Denk L. (Knee Injury) Kade J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 2.3:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Emmen - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.54%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.08.25	Waalwijk - Helmond Sport	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Helmond Sport - Roda	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Helmond Sport - AE Kifisia	0:1 ✺
29.07.25	Gemert - Helmond Sport	0:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.05.25	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTL
- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.08.25	Emmen - Almere City	1:4 ✺
11.08.25	Jong PSV - Emmen	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Emmen	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	ACV - Emmen	2:3 ✺
12.07.25	Emmen - Groningen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.02.25	Helmond Sport - Emmen	1:2
23.08.24	Emmen - Helmond Sport	0:0
29.04.24	Emmen - Helmond Sport	3:0
24.11.23	Helmond Sport - Emmen	1:2
01.03.22	Emmen - Helmond Sport	1:2
03.09.21	Helmond Sport - Emmen	1:0
16.03.18	Emmen - Helmond Sport	0:0

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