Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond)

Referee: Puts K. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	Helmond Sport		FC Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.1	4.2	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.45
	1.75	3.96	4.59
	1.29	4.82	11.58	Watch
	1.71	4.07	4.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.92)	4.13 ↑ (3.8)	5.8 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helmond Sport
59.7%

Draw
23.6%

FC Eindhoven
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

24.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Helmond Sport's performance.

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helmond Sport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (G) 24. Et Taibi A. 4. Koglin B. 28. Vos D. 5. Poll T. 26. Makanza N. 8. Llonch P. 36. Leipold A. 11. Daneels L. 34. Essakkati T. 16. Lukowicz M.	26. Brondeel J. (G) 2. Simons T. 3. Limouri F. 33. Neeskens J. 25. Douglas T. 5. Huisman D. 8. Simons S. 7. Blummel S. 28. Haddaoui Z. 23. Lukoki Mateso E. 32. Janga R.
Substitutes
23. Aben K. (G) 27. Absalem A. 9. Bajrami L. 22. Dizdarevic A. 47. Geerts D. 19. Ingason H. 6. Ludwig M. 2. Ogenia J. 17. Semic L. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 21. Wentges H. (G)	1. Borgmans J. (G) 20. Bryson A. . de Moes S. 6. Dorenbosch D. 22. Essers C. . Hoek M. 18. Munsters N. . Mununga T. 24. Renfrum O. 31. van Zutphen R. (G)
Coaches
Seegers J.	Verberne M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Essakkati T. 🟨,
13', Poll T. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Lukowicz M. ⚽, Essakkati T. (A),
39', Douglas T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Vos D. 🟨,
57', Essakkati T. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
68', Poll T. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
69', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
73', Haddaoui Z. ↓, Dorenbosch D. ↑,
74', Lukoki Mateso E. ↓, Mununga T. ↑,
81', Llonch P. 🟨,
83', Huisman D. ↓, Essers C. ↑,
84', Blummel S. ↓, Hoek M. ↑,
84', Leipold A. ↓, Ludwig M. ↑,
84', Et Taibi A. ↓, Van Den Eynden F. ↑,
90', Neeskens J. ↓, Bryson A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3.

Helmond Sport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

FC Eindhoven is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Helmond Sport is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.09.25	Vitesse - Helmond Sport	3:1 ✺
16.09.25	Helmond Sport - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	ADO Den Haag - Helmond Sport	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Helmond Sport - Emmen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLW
- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.09.25	FC Eindhoven - FC Oss	3:4 ✺
15.09.25	Almere City - FC Eindhoven	5:0 ✺
12.09.25	FC Eindhoven - ADO Den Haag	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Den Bosch - FC Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.08.25	Roda - FC Eindhoven	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.03.25	FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport	2:2
22.11.24	Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven	3:4
03.05.24	Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven	2:0
20.10.23	FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport	1:2
12.05.23	FC Eindhoven - Helmond Sport	0:1
19.08.22	Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven	0:1
04.03.22	Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven	1:2

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