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AEK Athens vs Iraklis Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, August 22, 2026)

Match Info

Super League - Round 1

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Allwyn Arena (Athens)

Referee: Matsoukas M. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 5
Austria	Laola1
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Germany	Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	AEK Athens		Iraklis

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.25	15	Watch
	1.21	6.75	12.50
	1.19	6.08	13.52	Watch
	1.22	6.56	14.8
	1.21	6.22	13.24
	1.18	6.7	15
	1.18	6.27	15	Watch
	1.18	5.8	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.22)	6.33 ↑ (5.25)	14.01 ↑ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
78.6%

Draw
14.8%

Iraklis
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

17.3%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Iraklis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

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Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 - under (1.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilios S. 10. Zubkov O. 27. Vitalis M. 18. Marin R. 8. Gacinovic M. 9. Jovic L. 19. Varga B.	33. Athanasiadis G. (G) 18. Nizet R. 2. Vouros P. 4. Chakla S. (C) 21. Pina 30. Soria C. 27. Krainz M. 22. Kaiboue K. 90. Sourlis V. 9. Kushta K. 11. Lopez I.
Substitutes
5. Alexiou C. 16. Arriaga K. 41. Balamotis M. (G) 91. Brignoli A. (G) 15. Georgiev M. 6. Kairinen K. 17. Kaloskamis D. 7. Kutesa D. 14. Majer L. 20. Mantalos P. 21. Vida D. 90. Zini	17. Anastasiadis N. 1. Karakasidis G. (G) 7. Koljic E. 43. Marques P. 23. Munoz D. 31. Nanu 8. Radoja N. 69. Roche Y. 6. Rodriguez C. 16. Tsintotas P. (G) 3. Vitor Meer
Coaches
Nikolic M.	Mazzarri W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Varga B. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Jovic L. ⚽, Pilios S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kushta K. ↓, Koljic E. ↑,
46', Kaiboue K. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
46', Nizet R. ↓, Nanu ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Jovic L. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
57', Lopez I. ↓, Marques P. ↑,
58', Vitalis M. 🟨,
63', Zubkov O. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
63', Jovic L. ↓, Zini ↑,
72', Marin R. ↓, Kairinen K. ↑,
72', Varga B. ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
75', 4 - 0, Zini ⚽,
79', Gacinovic M. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
81', Pina ↓, Vitor Meer ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 2.

Recent performances by AEK have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, AEK is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, AEK won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AEK Athens	2	1	1	0	5:1	4	4
10	Iraklis 1908	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1

Last Results with these Odds

AEK Athens - the odds 1.22 are the expected chance of winning is 74.44%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
UEFA Champions League
18.08.26	Levski Sofia - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
Greek Super Cup
12.08.26	AEK Athens - OFI	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	AEK Athens - Sint-Truidense	3:0 ✺
29.07.26	AEK Athens - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Zwolle - AEK Athens	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLW
- Iraklis Thessalonikis
Greek Cup
17.08.26	Iraklis - Volos	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Parma - Iraklis	1:1 ✺
29.07.26	Palermo - Iraklis	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Bologna - Iraklis	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League 2
28.03.26	Kalamata - Iraklis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
13.02.17	Iraklis - AEK Athens	2:2
26.09.16	AEK Athens - Iraklis	0:0
20.02.16	Iraklis - AEK Athens	1:1
Greek Cup
04.02.16	Iraklis - AEK Athens	0:1
28.01.16	AEK Athens - Iraklis	4:1
Greek Super League
24.10.15	AEK Athens - Iraklis	5:1

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