Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Levski Sofia		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.25
	3.40	3.10	2.25
	3.25	2.95	2.28
	3.47	3.1	2.38
	3.39	3.11	2.32	Watch
	3.4	3	2.35
	3.47	3.13	2.39
	3.25	3.05	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.12)	3.06 ↑ (2.97)	2.32 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levski Sofia
28.3%

Draw
30.9%

AEK Athens
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

29.8%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

31.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levski Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	23.5%	58.8%

Levski Sofia - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Levski will win (votes: 9 - 17.6%). AEK will win (votes: 30 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 45.3% – 72.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Levski (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AEK Athens will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Levski (votes: 2 - 28.6%). AEK (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Vutsov S. (G) 21. Neves A. 50. Dimitrov K. (C) 31. Serafimov N. 20. Centelles A. 19. Moubarik M. 3. Maicon 11. Oko-Flex A. 35. Serginho 17. Everton Bala 7. Reinaldo	1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilios S. 14. Majer L. 18. Marin R. 6. Kairinen K. 11. Koita A. 90. Zini 9. Jovic L.
Substitutes
2. Hevertton S. 27. Kusso D. 78. Lukov M. (G) 4. Makoun C. 10. Mitkov A. 9. Perea J. 77. Raychev A. 22. Soula M. 28. Stoyanchov S. 18. Trdin G. 1. Vladimirov O. (G)	41. Balamotis M. (G) 91. Brignoli A. (G) 8. Gacinovic M. 15. Georgiev M. 17. Kaloskamis D. 7. Kutesa D. 20. Mantalos P. 25. Varga B. 21. Vida D. 10. Zubkov O.
Coaches
Velazquez J.	Nikolic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Jovic L. ↓, Varga B. ↑,
58', Majer L. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
67', Oko-Flex A. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
79', Reinaldo ↓, Mitkov A. ↑,
79', Everton Bala ↓, Soula M. ↑,
81', Zini ↓, Zubkov O. ↑,
81', Koita A. ↓, Gacinovic M. ↑,
88', Neves A. ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
89', Maicon ↓, Stoyanchov S. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Levski has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

AEK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Levski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Levski: Kirilov R. (Knee Injury) Vulikic S. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in AEK: Vitalis M. (Cup Tied)

There are questionable in Levski: Bouras A. (Muscle Injury) Kamdem O. (Knee Injury) Sangare M. (Muscle Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	AEK Athens	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levski Sofia
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Kairat - Levski Sofia	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.08.26	Levski Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Levski Sofia - Kairat	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.08.26	Levski Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Universitatea Craiova - Levski Sofia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWT
- AEK Athens
Greek Super Cup
12.08.26	AEK Athens - OFI	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	AEK Athens - Sint-Truidense	3:0 ✺
29.07.26	AEK Athens - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Zwolle - AEK Athens	2:3 ✺
18.07.26	Groningen - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

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