Match Info

Super League - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: AEL FC Arena (Larissa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	00:00	SportPlus
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Greece	17:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Usa	10:00	SportPlus


	AEL Larissa		AE Kifisia

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.7
	2.81	3.25	2.71
	2.7	3.16	2.66	Watch
	2.6	3	2.63
	2.59	3.14	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.32)	3.18 ↑ (3.13)	2.69 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Larissa
35.6%

Draw
29.5%

AE Kifisia
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

AE Kifisia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEL Larissa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AE Kifisia than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AE Kifisia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

AEL Larissa - AE Kifisia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kifisia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Anagnostopoulos A. (G) 2. Apostolakis K. 14. Ferigra E. 28. Batubinsika D. 4. Iliadis T. (C) 27. Macon Y. 25. Sagal A. 15. Naor G. 31. Atanasov J. 18. Chatzistravos Z. 29. Tupta L.	99. Ramirez M. (G) 22. Konate C. O. 38. Pokorny J. 5. Petkov A. 76. Larouci Y. 11. Nunnely C. 88. Amani L. 17. Pothas A. 7. Antonisse J. 72. Christopoulos A. 6. Pombo J. (C)
Substitutes
23. Garate L. 5. Kakuta G. 1. Melissas N. (G) 7. Ngoy J. 20. Olafsson D. 19. Pasas G. 8. Perez F. 33. Rosic L. 77. Sisto P. 90. Sourlis V. 26. Staikos P. 21. Venetikidis T. (G)	8. Bernardo 4. Botia A. 14. Johnson Eboh T. 60. Konstantakopoulos G. 24. Maidana L. 77. Miguel Tavares 90. Mijic P. 2. Simon D. 10. Sousa G. 9. Theodoridis D. 19. Villafanez L. 1. Xenopoulos V. (G)
Coaches
Pantelidis S.	Leto S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Pombo J. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Larouci Y. 🟨,
31', Naor G. 🟨,
36', Christopoulos A. 🟨,
45', Apostolakis K. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nunnely C. ↓, Miguel Tavares ↑,
46', Ferigra E. ↓, Olafsson D. ↑,
46', Chatzistravos Z. ↓, Kakuta G. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Sagal A. ⚽, Naor G. (A),
67', Naor G. ↓, Sourlis V. ↑,
75', Pombo J. ↓, Bernardo ↑,
75', Christopoulos A. ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
75', Antonisse J. ↓, Mijic P. ↑,
81', Sagal A. ↓, Ngoy J. ↑,
90+4', Miguel Tavares ↓, Botia A. ↑,

Preview

Larissa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kifisia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Larissa: Kossonou A. (Injury) Mourgos S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Kifisia: Johnson Eboh T. (Inactive) Maidana L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Larissa: Rosic L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kifisia: Sousa H. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kifisia	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Kifisia: 0.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Larissa
Greek Super League
18.04.26	Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa	3:2 ✺
08.04.26	AEL Larissa - Panetolikos	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Asteras Tripolis - AEL Larissa	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEL Larissa	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	AEL Larissa - Asteras Tripolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LLLTT
- AE Kifisia FC
Greek Super League
18.04.26	AE Kifisia - Asteras Tripolis	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Atromitos Athens - AE Kifisia	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	AE Kifisia - Panserraikos	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	AEK Athens - AE Kifisia	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	AE Kifisia - Volos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
10.01.26	AE Kifisia - AEL Larissa	1:1
30.08.25	AEL Larissa - AE Kifisia	1:1
Greek Super League 2
11.05.25	AEL Larissa - AE Kifisia	1:0

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