Match Info

Super League - Relegation Group - Round 9

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: AEL FC Arena (Larissa)

Referee: Zampalas S. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1


	AEL Larissa		Atromitos Athens

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.65	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.8	Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.93
	2.62	3.02	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.56	3.1	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.53)	3.14 ↑ (3.13)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Larissa
36.5%

Draw
29.9%

Atromitos Athens
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

29.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

30.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Atromitos Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

AEL Larissa - Atromitos Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Venetikidis T. (G) 22. Papageorgiou A. 33. Rosic L. 28. Batubinsika D. 27. Macon Y. 15. Naor G. 31. Atanasov J. 25. Sagal A. 8. Perez F. 29. Tupta L. 19. Pasas G. (C)	25. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 7. Ukaki E. 6. Karamanis A. 24. Mitoglou G. 21. Uronen J. 44. Tsakmakis D. 92. Moutoussamy S. 23. Tsiloulis S. 77. Zuber S. 19. Tsantilas P. 99. Tzovaras G. (C)
Substitutes
10. Andrada L. 18. Chatzistravos Z. 17. Diminikos D. 14. Ferigra E. 23. Garate L. 3. Grozos K. 4. Iliadis T. 5. Kakuta G. 1. Melissas N. (G) 20. Olafsson D. 6. Pantelakis E. 26. Staikos P.	20. Ampartzidis S. 30. Athanasiou V. (G) 32. Baku M. 33. Batos K. 1. Choutetsiotis L. (G) 70. Mansur 16. Papadopoulos G. 10. Pnevmonidis S. 17. Quini 4. Stavropoulos D. 5. Tsingaras T. 9. van Weert T.
Coaches
Festa G.	Kerkez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Macon Y. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Tupta L. ⚽, Sagal A. (A),
38', Tsakmakis D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Rosic L. 🟨,
68', Tsiloulis S. ↓, Baku M. ↑,
68', Tsantilas P. ↓, Pnevmonidis S. ↑,
71', Mitoglou G. 🟨,
78', Tzovaras G. ↓, van Weert T. ↑,
83', Sagal A. ↓, Chatzistravos Z. ↑,
86', Moutoussamy S. 🟨,
87', Moutoussamy S. ↓, Ampartzidis S. ↑,
87', Ukaki E. ↓, Quini ↑,
89', Pasas G. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Baku M. ⚽, Karamanis A. (A),
90+3', Rosic L. ↓, Iliadis T. ↑,
90+10', Ampartzidis S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Larissa could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Larissa: Apostolakis K. (Injury) Kossonou A. (Injury) Mourgos S. (Inactive) Sourlis V. (Inactive)

There will not play in Atromitos: Jubitana D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Larissa: Macon Y. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1 match, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.4:0.9).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

Atromitos: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Atromitos	6	0	2	4	5:9	-4	2

Last Results with these Odds

Atromitos Athens - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.28%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Larissa
Greek Super League
12.05.26	Panetolikos - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	AEL Larissa - Asteras Tripolis	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Panserraikos - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	AEL Larissa - Panserraikos	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	AEL Larissa - AE Kifisia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTTLT
- Atromitos Athens
Greek Super League
12.05.26	AE Kifisia - Atromitos Athens	0:3 ✺
09.05.26	Atromitos Athens - Panetolikos	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Asteras Tripolis - Atromitos Athens	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Atromitos Athens - Asteras Tripolis	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Panserraikos - Atromitos Athens	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
18.04.26	Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa	3:2
21.12.25	AEL Larissa - Atromitos Athens	0:0
Greek Cup
03.12.25	AEL Larissa - Atromitos Athens	0:1
Greek Super League
29.09.25	Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa	1:1
Greek Cup
16.01.24	Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa	4:0
06.12.23	AEL Larissa - Atromitos Athens	1:1
Greek Super League
10.04.21	Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa	0:1

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