Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Kristinebergs IP (Stockholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Stockholm Internazionale		Karlberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.7	4.5
	1.6	3.95	4.75	Watch
	1.65	4	4.74
	1.62	4.28	4.57	Watch
	1.6	3.5	4.6
	1.6	3.78	4.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)	3.87 ↓ (4.15)	4.66 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockholm Internazionale
56.7%

Draw
23.6%

Karlberg
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.1%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

21.4%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockholm Internazionale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Karlberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockholm Internazionale than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stockholm Internazionale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Stockholm Internazionale - Karlberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bringzen S. (G) 18. Allback R. 17. Bergendahl Karki A. 15. Edlund O. 5. Fallman D. 27. Ghanoum Z. 16. Jarde O. 21. Salama O. 9. Sunesson L. 22. Weilid C. 13. Zlotnik D. (C)	1. Gkoulios A. (G) 17. Aslund H. 7. Fernandez H. 5. Geiger N. 19. Jemal A. 11. Mitku M. 8. Negash N. 2. Nieminen Eriksson F. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. (C) 3. Steen V. 13. Sundgren R.
Substitutes
14. Canoilas M. 3. Conta S. 10. Cosic M. 25. Girma T. 7. Kantokoski M. K. 29. Obasi O. 30. Rose Meyer S. (G)	35. Bojang E. (G) 14. Fati A. 15. Hall V. 25. Hogberg F. 9. Jamshidi A. 24. Sietsema L. 16. Vainio N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', Zlotnik D. ↓, Kantokoski M. K. ↑,
71', Geiger N. ↓, Sietsema L. ↑,
77', Mitku M. ↓, Jamshidi A. ↑,
77', Jarde O. ↓, Cosic M. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Kantokoski M. K. ⚽, Salama O. (A),
85', 🟨,
85', Sundgren R. ↓, Hogberg F. ↑,
85', Aslund H. ↓, Hall V. ↑,
87', Salama O. ↓, Conta S. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stockholm Int won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Stockholm Int is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Stockholm Int won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stockholm Int won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stockholm Internazionale	25	18	3	4	60:20	40	57
10	Karlbergs	25	9	5	11	33:41	-8	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stockholm Internazionale
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.05.26	Hammarby TFF - Stockholm Internazionale	3:1 ✺
13.05.26	Stockholm Internazionale - AFC Eskilstuna	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Stocksund - Stockholm Internazionale	1:6 ✺
03.05.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Sollentuna	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Umeå	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWTW
- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.05.26	Karlberg - Järfälla	1:3 ✺
13.05.26	Arlanda - Karlberg	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Karlberg - Karlstad	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Umeå - Karlberg	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Karlberg - Gefle	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.08.25	Stockholm Internazionale - Karlberg	3:1
15.06.25	Karlberg - Stockholm Internazionale	0:0
17.08.24	Karlberg - Stockholm Internazionale	3:2
13.04.24	Stockholm Internazionale - Karlberg	2:1
Svenska Cupen
28.06.23	Karlberg - Stockholm Internazionale	1:2
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
03.11.21	Karlberg - Stockholm Internazionale	2:2
20.06.21	Stockholm Internazionale - Karlberg	2:1

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