Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 20

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	3.8
	1.72	3.8	3.9
	1.69	4.09	4.22
	1.73	4.01	4.22
	1.7	3.74	4.11
	1.72	3.8	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.54)	3.86 ↓ (4.02)	4.03 ↓ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
53.5%

Draw
23.7%

Banbury United
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.8%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.1%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Telford United's form might have worsened.

Banbury United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Telford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Banbury United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AFC Telford United - Banbury United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, Ball G. ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, Stenson M. ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 16).

Recent matches Telford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Banbury is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Telford is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Telford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Telford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English Southern League Central Division
30.11.24	Leiston - AFC Telford United	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	AFC Telford United - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Hadley - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.11.24	AFC Telford United - Kettering Town	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Stamford - AFC Telford United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW
- Banbury United
English Southern League Central Division
30.11.24	Banbury United - Lowestoft Town	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Harborough Town - Banbury United	4:1 ✺
16.11.24	Banbury United - Stourbridge	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Bishops Stortford - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Banbury United - Hitchin Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.03.23	Banbury United - AFC Telford United	1:2
03.12.22	AFC Telford United - Banbury United	2:1

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