Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		St Ives Town

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3
	2	3.55	3.15
	1.99	4.01	3.13
	2.02	3.88	3.2
	1.98	3.54	3.22
	2	3.55	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.75)	3.67 ↓ (3.72)	3.14 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
45.9%

Draw
24.9%

St Ives Town
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

23.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Telford United's form might have worsened.

St Ives Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Ives Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Telford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Ives Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AFC Telford United - St Ives Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Stenson M. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Stenson M. ⚽,
25', 3 - 0, Walker R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 3 - 1, Allen J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Recent matches Telford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

St Ives is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

St Ives could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Telford is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Telford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Telford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Hadley - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.11.24	AFC Telford United - Kettering Town	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Stamford - AFC Telford United	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	AFC Telford United - Bishops Stortford	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Mickleover Sports - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW
- St Ives Town
English Southern League Central Division
16.11.24	St Ives Town - Leiston	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Bedford Town - St Ives Town	0:3 ✺
02.11.24	St Ives Town - Redditch United	0:3 ✺
26.10.24	Sudbury Town - St Ives Town	0:0 ✺
22.10.24	Stamford - St Ives Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
09.12.23	AFC Telford United - St Ives Town	2:1
09.09.23	St Ives Town - AFC Telford United	2:3

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