Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 21

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Stourbridge		AFC Telford United

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.75
	2.28	3.25	2.85
	2.27	3.39	2.95
	2.35	3.34	2.94
	2.25	3.2	2.93
	2.28	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.54)	3.26 ↓ (3.43)	2.88 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
40.1%

Draw
28.1%

AFC Telford United
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.5%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

27%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

AFC Telford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Telford United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Telford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stourbridge - AFC Telford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Armson J. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, Brown J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Stourbridge is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Telford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Stourbridge won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 2.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Stourbridge won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

AFC Telford United - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.79%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
14.12.24	Leiston - Stourbridge	0:3 ✺
30.11.24	Stourbridge - Halesowen Town	2:2 ✺
16.11.24	Banbury United - Stourbridge	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Stourbridge - Lowestoft Town	4:0 ✺
02.11.24	Stourbridge - Biggleswade Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTWT
- AFC Telford United
English Southern League Central Division
14.12.24	AFC Telford United - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Leiston - AFC Telford United	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	AFC Telford United - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Hadley - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.11.24	AFC Telford United - Kettering Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.08.24	AFC Telford United - Stourbridge	1:5
27.01.24	AFC Telford United - Stourbridge	2:1
26.09.23	Stourbridge - AFC Telford United	2:2
English FA Trophy
18.12.21	Stourbridge - AFC Telford United	3:2

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