Match Info

National League North - Round 40

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Marine

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	4.5
	1.62	3.8	4.2
	1.65	3.85	4.45
	1.7	3.93	4.51
	1.67	4.06	4.42	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.5
	1.68	3.85	4.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	3.84 ↓ (3.94)	4.47 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
55.5%

Draw
23.9%

Marine
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.6%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

22.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

AFC Telford United - Marine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Sinclair-Smith F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Sinclair-Smith F. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Telford is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Telford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Marine: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Marine	10	4	0	6	12:12	0	12
21	AFC Telford	10	2	3	5	8:15	-7	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English National League North
17.03.26	AFC Telford United - Macclesfield Town	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Scarborough Athletic - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Fylde - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	AFC Telford United - Alfreton Town	4:1 ✺
03.03.26	AFC Telford United - Leamington	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLWL
- Marine FC
English National League North
17.03.26	Peterborough Sports - Marine	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Marine - Worksop Town	4:2 ✺
10.03.26	Marine - Macclesfield Town	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	King`s Lynn Town - Marine	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.02.26	Marine - Woking	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
11.11.25	Marine - AFC Telford United	2:1

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