The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AFC Telford United 75.6%
Draw 16.1%
Leamington 8.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.7%
18%
11.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.8%
17%
10.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
AFC Telford United - Leamington Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Walker R. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Blythe B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 2, Tattum F. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telford won 2.
Telford is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Leamington has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Telford is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Telford won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Telford won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).