Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Spalding United

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	3.9
	1.62	4.2	4.1
	1.66	4.33	4.32
	1.61	4.1	4.3
	1.62	4.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.14)	4.19 ↑ (3.51)	4.14 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
56.2%

Draw
21.8%

Spalding United
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Telford United's performance.

Spalding United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spalding United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Telford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spalding United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AFC Telford United - Spalding United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Telford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Stenson M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Lawlor D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 8).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Telford is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Telford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English Southern League Central Division
29.03.25	AFC Telford United - Barwell	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Kettering Town - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	AFC Telford United - Sudbury Town	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	St Ives Town - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWTT
- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
29.03.25	Lowestoft Town - Spalding United	0:5 ✺
22.03.25	Spalding United - Hitchin Town	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Spalding United	3:4 ✺
08.03.25	Spalding United - Harborough Town	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Stourbridge - Spalding United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
24.08.24	Spalding United - AFC Telford United	0:1

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