Match Info

League One - Round 2

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)


	AFC Wimbledon		Reading

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.25	2.25
	2.75	3.30	2.45
	2.52	3.3	2.65
	3.1	3.52	2.34
	2.73	3.36	2.5	Watch
	3	3.45	2.3
	2.82	3.32	2.43	Watch
	2.9	3.35	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.53)	3.36 ↑ (3.33)	2.41 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
33.1%

Draw
28%

Reading
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

AFC Wimbledon - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Reading (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. McDonnell J. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 26. Sweeney D. 6. Johnson R. (C) 7. Tilley J. 10. Nelson Z. 12. Smith A. 21. Hippolyte M. 3. Seddon S. 11. Browne M. 9. Stockley J.	1. Pereira J. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. 15. O'Connor P. 16. Ward B. 5. Roberts H. 10. Wing L. (C) 4. Rinomhota A. 19. Lisbie K. 28. Stokes J. 11. Kyerewaa D. 7. Marriott J.
Substitutes
1. Bishop N. (G) 16. Hackford A. 5. Harrison O. 8. Maycock C. 29. Sasu A. 2. Sessegnon S. 17. Yiadom A.	39. Ahmed A. 18. Brown J. 17. Earthy G. 32. Lane P. 8. Savage C. 25. Stevens J. (G) 14. Williams R.
Coaches
Jackson J.	Richardson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
29', O'Connor P. 🟨,
29', Johnson R. 🟨,
38', Rinomhota A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Rinomhota A. ↓, Savage C. ↑,
65', Stokes J. ↓, Earthy G. ↑,
68', Savage C. 🟨,
75', Nelson Z. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
82', Stockley J. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
87', Kyerewaa D. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
87', Roberts H. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
90+1', Hippolyte M. ↓, Sessegnon S. ↑,
90+5', Lisbie K. ↓, Brown J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.

Recent form of Wimbledon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Reading is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Reading	9	4	3	2	22:11	11	15
11	AFC Wimbledon	9	3	3	3	7:10	-3	12

Last Results with these Odds

AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.78%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English EFL Trophy
18.08.26	Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
15.08.26	Huddersfield Town - AFC Wimbledon	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	AFC Wimbledon - Newport County	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	AFC Wimbledon - Queens Park Rangers	2:3 ✺
28.07.26	Wealdstone - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL
- Reading
English EFL Trophy
18.08.26	Reading - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
15.08.26	Reading - Luton Town	3:4 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Bromley - Reading	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Reading - Charlton Athletic	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	Crawley Town - Reading	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.02.26	AFC Wimbledon - Reading	3:2
English League Cup
26.08.25	Reading - AFC Wimbledon	2:1
English League One
16.08.25	Reading - AFC Wimbledon	1:2
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Reading - AFC Wimbledon	0:1
19.07.22	AFC Wimbledon - Reading	0:2
07.07.18	AFC Wimbledon - Reading	4:2
23.07.16	AFC Wimbledon - Reading	2:0

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