Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Cepheus Park (Randers)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Poland	TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	AGF Aarhus		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.20
	2.62	3.25	2.62
	2.62	3.23	2.69
	2.39	3.22	3.1	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.55
	2.67	3.22	2.72	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.29)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	2.75 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AGF Aarhus
36.8%

Draw
29.1%

Lech Poznań
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.2%	15.6%	22.2%

AGF Aarhus - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 28 - 65.1%). Lech will win (votes: 9 - 20.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 50.9% – 79.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hansen J. (G) 40. Jensen-Abbew J. 5. Tingager F. 19. Kahl E. 39. Emmery F. 4. Knudsen M. 10. Arnstad K. (C) 11. Links G. 8. Jorgensen S. 31. Bech T. 23. Anderson M.	1. Lis M. (G) 2. Pereira J. 27. Monka W. 59. Yegbe T. 15. Gurgul M. 43. Kozubal A. 22. Murawski R. 10. Walemark P. 21. Rodriguez P. 77. Palma L. 9. Ishak M. (C)
Substitutes
26. Andersen J. 28. Bogere J. 44. Camara M. 43. Grantzau Z. 22. Haugstrup O. 21. Hedenstad M. (G) 16. Jonsson J. 20. Kristjansson T. 13. Serra J. 27. Tchamche S. 42. van der Raad M. (G) 17. Yakob K.	7. Agnero Y. 14. Bengtsson L. 20. Gumny R. 11. Hakans D. 24. Jagiello F. 90. Janyszka H. 4. Moutinho J. 41. Mrozek B. (G) 35. Pruchniewski M. (G) 17. Sayyadmanesh A. 72. Skrzypczak M. 23. Thordarson G.
Coaches
Poulsen J.	Frederiksen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽, Pereira J. (A),
37', Hansen J. 🟥,
40', Jorgensen S. ↓, Hedenstad M. ↑,
42', 0 - 2, Walemark P. ⚽, Kozubal A. (A),
45+6', Links G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Murawski R. 🟨,
54', Murawski R. ↓, Jagiello F. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Arnstad K. ⚽, Emmery F. (A),
61', 1 - 3, Yegbe T. ⚽, Monka W. (A),
65', 1 - 4, Walemark P. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
66', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
66', Palma L. ↓, Hakans D. ↑,
66', Walemark P. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
69', 🟨,
73', Anderson M. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
73', Bech T. ↓, Bogere J. ↑,
74', Jensen-Abbew J. ↓, Andersen J. ↑,
79', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
83', Links G. ↓, Kristjansson T. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Aarhus is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AGF Aarhus
Club Friendly
15.07.26	AGF Aarhus - Horsens	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	AGF Aarhus - Motherwell	4:0 ✺
27.06.26	AGF Aarhus - Viborg	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
17.05.26	AGF Aarhus - Viborg	6:2 ✺
10.05.26	Brøndby - AGF Aarhus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTWW
- Lech Poznań
Polish Super Cup
16.07.26	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Lech Poznań - Podbrezová	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Lech Poznań - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań	1:3 ✺
08.05.26	Lech Poznań - Arka Gdynia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTWT

Upcoming Matches