Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Strawberry Arena (Solna)

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport
Sweden	SportExpressen Play


	AIK		Győri ETO

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.75
	1.65	3.55	4.95	Watch
	1.7	3.6	5.16
	1.20	6.10	13.77	Watch
	1.69	3.89	5.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.48)	4.02 ↓ (4.54)	6.52 ↓ (6.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AIK
61%

Draw
24.1%

Győri ETO
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

21.1%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20.5%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Győri ETO has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AIK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Győri ETO than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	8%	8%

AIK - Győri ETO Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Győri ETO (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - AIK (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AIK will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AIK will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. AIK (votes: 9 - 75%). Győri ETO (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Nordfeldt K. (G) 17. Thychosen M. 32. Benkovic F. 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 16. Tiedemann B. 18. Ali A. 33. Csongvai A. 7. Saletros A. (C) 19. Besirovic D. 10. Celina B. 20. Flataker E.	99. Petras S. (G) 24. Krpic M. 4. Abrahamsson A. 21. Csinger M. 6. Toth R. 80. Gavric Z. 5. Anton P. (C) 44. Ouro S. 90. Banati K. 7. Benbouali N. 10. Bumba C.
Substitutes
45. Ayari T. 2. Edh E. 46. Geiger Y. 11. Guidetti J. 8. Hove J. 3. Isherwood T. 30. Joelsson K. (G) 5. Karlsson K. 12. Pavey C. 21. Wilson S. 36. Yohanna Z.	20. Biro B. 25. Boldor D. 64. Brecska D. (G) 47. Decsy A. 89. Kocsis B. (G) 19. Pishchur O. 70. Tollar A. 37. Urblik N. 18. Vingler L. 27. Vitalis M. 2. Vladoiu S. 76. Zivkovic J.
Coaches
Thomassen M.	Borbely B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Besirovic D. ⚽, Flataker E. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Celina B. ⚽, Tiedemann B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Banati K. ↓, Vladoiu S. ↑,
61', Bumba C. ↓, Vitalis M. ↑,
67', Ali A. ↓, Ayari T. ↑,
67', Tiedemann B. ↓, Isherwood T. ↑,
73', Papagiannopoulos S. 🟨,
78', 2 - 1, Vitalis M. ⚽,
81', Celina B. ↓, Hove J. ↑,
81', Flataker E. ↓, Guidetti J. ↑,
86', Abrahamsson A. ↓, Boldor D. ↑,
90+2', Ouro S. ↓, Pishchur O. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

AIK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Győri ETO has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Győri ETO may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, AIK is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AIK Fotboll
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	AIK - Paide LM	6:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.07.25	AIK - Öster	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Paide LM - AIK	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.25	Mjällby - AIK	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	AIK - Degerfors	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTWLW
- Győri ETO FC
Hungarian NB I
03.08.25	Győri ETO - Ujpest	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Győri ETO - Pyunik	3:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
27.07.25	Paksi SE - Győri ETO	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Pyunik - Győri ETO	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.25	Győri ETO - Karpaty Lviv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTLW

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