Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 5

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Strawberry Arena (Solna)

Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	AIK		Malmö

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.3
	2.2	3.41	3.45
	2.28	3.43	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.3
	2.14	3.34	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.46)	3.35 ↓ (3.41)	3.3 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AIK
43.4%

Draw
28.1%

Malmö
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

27.7%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malmö might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	30.8%	7.7%

AIK - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Malmö will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 35% – 88%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Malmö (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Nordfeldt K. (C) 12. Pavey C. 33. Csongvai A. 25. Cisse I. 21. Wilson S. 18. Ali A. 36. Yohanna Z. 8. Hove J. 7. Mujanic A. 10. Celina B. 45. Ayari T.	27. Dahlin J. (C) 17. Stryger J. 5. Djuric A. 19. Rosler C. 47. Lundbergh T. 22. Ali T. 7. Rosengren O. 6. Karabelyov Y. 29. Haksabanovic S. 37. Skogmar A. 20. Botheim E.
Substitutes
11. Andersson V. 5. Bergquist L. 29. Filling K. 9. Flataker E. 46. Geiger Y. 16. Gustafsson S. 30. Joelsson K. (G) 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 17. Thychosen M.	25. Busanello 40. Busuladzic K. 10. Christiansen A. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 2. Karlsson J. 28. Milosavljevic J. 50. Nieroth W. (G) 44. Palsson M. 24. Sjostrand O.
Coaches
Riveiro J.	Ramirez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Ayari T. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Botheim E. ⚽, Haksabanovic S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Ayari T. ↓, Flataker E. ↑,
56', Mujanic A. 🟨,
65', Mujanic A. ↓, Andersson V. ↑,
68', Ali T. ↓, Sjostrand O. ↑,
74', Skogmar A. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
74', Karabelyov Y. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
79', Ali A. ↓, Geiger Y. ↑,
79', Pavey C. ↓, Thychosen M. ↑,
82', Djuric A. 🟨,
85', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Busanello ↑,
85', Botheim E. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
90+3', Thychosen M. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AIK won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

AIK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in AIK: Besirovic D. (Injury) Edh E. (Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Helm A. (Inactive) Nissen F. (Inactive) Redkin A. (Knee Injury) Thychosen M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Malmö: Christiansen A. (Inactive) Ekong E. (Inactive) Jansson P. (Injury) Olsen R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Malmö: Kurtulus B. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AIK won 1 match, drew 11 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:27. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, AIK won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 0.7:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37:33	4	33
9	AIK	23	9	6	8	36:40	-4	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.04.26	Degerfors - AIK	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	AIK - Kalmar	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Brommapojkarna - AIK	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	AIK - Halmstad	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	AIK - Örebro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTWW
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.04.26	Malmö - Sirius	2:3 ✺
17.04.26	Djurgården - Malmö	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Malmö - GAIS	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Örgryte - Malmö	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Malmö - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
22.05.25	Malmö - AIK	0:0
14.04.25	AIK - Malmö	0:0
15.09.24	AIK - Malmö	0:0
28.04.24	Malmö - AIK	5:0
23.07.23	AIK - Malmö	0:0
07.05.23	Malmö - AIK	3:1
11.05.22	AIK - Malmö	2:0

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