Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	APS Bomet		Bidco United

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.88	3.05
	2.23	2.92	3.17
	2.28	2.91	3.21	Watch
	2.2	2.75	3.1
	2.25	2.88	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.54)	2.87 ↓ (2.92)	3.15 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

APS Bomet
40%

Draw
31.4%

Bidco United
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

30.9%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

30.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APS Bomet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Bidco United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bidco United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

APS Bomet - Bidco United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Ochieng H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Ochieng M. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 15).

Recent form of APS Bomet has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Bidco United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, APS Bomet won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	APS Bomet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Bidco United - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.44%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APS Bomet FC
Kenyan Premier League
02.03.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	APS Bomet - Kariobangi Sharks	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Police FC - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	APS Bomet - Gor Mahia	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Nairobi United - APS Bomet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLTLW
- Bidco United
Kenyan Premier League
02.03.26	Bidco United - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Bidco United - Mara Sugar	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Nairobi United - Bidco United	3:0 ✺
13.02.26	Bidco United - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:4 ✺
02.02.26	Police FC - Bidco United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
02.11.25	Bidco United - APS Bomet	0:0

Upcoming Matches