Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Kakamega Homeboyz		APS Bomet

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.05	4.75
	1.73	3.15	5.35
	1.79	2.92	5.17	Watch
	1.73	2.9	5
	1.77	2.99	4.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.65)	3 ↓ (3.24)	5.05 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kakamega Homeboyz
51.8%

Draw
30.2%

APS Bomet
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

27.9%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

27%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

APS Bomet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Kakamega Homeboyz - APS Bomet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Mudavadi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, ⚽,
49', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

Homeboyz is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

APS Bomet is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Homeboyz is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Homeboyz will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Homeboyz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kakamega Homeboyz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	APS Bomet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
26.02.26	Ulinzi Stars - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Bidco United - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:4 ✺
31.01.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Mara Sugar	3:3 ✺
18.01.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kariobangi Sharks	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWTW
- APS Bomet FC
Kenyan Premier League
26.02.26	APS Bomet - Kariobangi Sharks	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Police FC - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	APS Bomet - Gor Mahia	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Nairobi United - APS Bomet	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Muranga Seal - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
29.10.25	APS Bomet - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:2

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