Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Police FC		APS Bomet

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	4.95
	1.67	3.32	5.19	Watch
	1.7	2.9	5
	1.83	3.13	4.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	4.96 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police FC
52.9%

Draw
28.9%

APS Bomet
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28.7%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

27.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

APS Bomet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Police FC - APS Bomet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

In recent matches, Police has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

APS Bomet's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Police is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Police won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Police FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	APS Bomet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
15.02.26	Ulinzi Stars - Police FC	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Police FC - Bidco United	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Bandari - Police FC	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Mara Sugar - Police FC	0:1 ✺
19.01.26	Police FC - Nairobi United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTLWT
- APS Bomet FC
Kenyan Premier League
15.02.26	APS Bomet - Gor Mahia	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Nairobi United - APS Bomet	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Muranga Seal - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	APS Bomet - Shabana	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	AFC Leopards - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
05.10.25	APS Bomet - Police FC	0:1

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