Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	APS Bomet		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.25	1.65
	7.32	3.79	1.42
	7.24	3.99	1.42	Watch
	6.5	3.3	1.44
	6.76	3.74	1.5
	7.5	3.8	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.75 ↑ (5.08)	3.65 ↑ (3.4)	1.47 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APS Bomet
13.5%

Draw
24.9%

Gor Mahia
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

26.7%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

25.7%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APS Bomet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gor Mahia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

APS Bomet - Gor Mahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 0 - 2, ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

Recent performances by APS Bomet have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gor Mahia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gor Mahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gor Mahia is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, APS Bomet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gor Mahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	APS Bomet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APS Bomet FC
Kenyan Premier League
04.02.26	Nairobi United - APS Bomet	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Muranga Seal - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	APS Bomet - Shabana	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	AFC Leopards - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	APS Bomet - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLTLT
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
31.01.26	Gor Mahia - Sofapaka	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bidco United - Gor Mahia	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Gor Mahia - Muranga Seal	3:2 ✺
11.01.26	Shabana - Gor Mahia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
25.11.25	Gor Mahia - APS Bomet	1:4

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