Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	APS Bomet		Kariobangi Sharks

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.45	3
	2.9	2.19	3.31
	2.7	2.52	3.06	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.9
	2.58	2.58	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.49)	2.47 ↓ (2.95)	3.07 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APS Bomet
33.9%

Draw
36.6%

Kariobangi Sharks
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

31%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APS Bomet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Kariobangi Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

APS Bomet - Kariobangi Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, APS Bomet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	APS Bomet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APS Bomet FC
Kenyan Premier League
22.02.26	Police FC - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	APS Bomet - Gor Mahia	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Nairobi United - APS Bomet	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Muranga Seal - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	APS Bomet - Shabana	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLWLT
- Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League
21.02.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Kenya CB - Kariobangi Sharks	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bandari - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kariobangi Sharks	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
25.10.25	Kariobangi Sharks - APS Bomet	1:2

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