Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Mathare United		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.25	1.7
	4.25	3.27	1.81	Watch
	5.04	3.2	1.7
	4.2	3.2	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (4.25)	3.23 ↓ (3.27)	1.75 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathare United
20.1%

Draw
28.1%

Gor Mahia
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

28%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mathare United - Gor Mahia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gor Mahia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Gor Mahia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 1.

Mathare United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Gor Mahia is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
26.10.25	Shabana - Mathare United	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Mathare United - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Tusker - Mathare United	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Kenya CB - Mathare United	0:1 ✺
22.09.25	Mathare United - Posta Rangers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WLTWL
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
26.10.25	Gor Mahia - Posta Rangers	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sofapaka - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Gor Mahia - Bidco United	0:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
29.06.25	Gor Mahia - Nairobi United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
08.02.25	Mathare United - Gor Mahia	1:2
28.09.24	Gor Mahia - Mathare United	4:0
03.05.23	Gor Mahia - Mathare United	2:1
01.03.23	Mathare United - Gor Mahia	2:1
09.01.22	Gor Mahia - Mathare United	1:0
16.06.21	Mathare United - Gor Mahia	0:1
14.01.21	Gor Mahia - Mathare United	3:1

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