Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday


	ASWH		Amsterdamsche FC

	1	X	2
	6	4.25	1.37
	5.2	4.5	1.44
	6.45	4.9	1.39
	6.3	4.9	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.99 ↑ (4.86)	4.64 ↑ (4.1)	1.4 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASWH
15.2%

Draw
19.6%

Amsterdamsche FC
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

22.6%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

22%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASWH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Amsterdamsche FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amsterdamsche FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASWH than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amsterdamsche FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

ASWH - Amsterdamsche FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Derde Divisie and 6).

ASWH has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

AFC is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match AFC is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches ASWH won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams ASWH won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASWH
Dutch Tweede Divisie
14.05.22	GVVV - ASWH	6:0 ✺
07.05.22	ASWH - Katwijk	1:3 ✺
30.04.22	Excelsior Maassluis - ASWH	3:0 ✺
26.04.22	Spakenburg - ASWH	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	ASWH - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Amsterdamsche FC
Dutch Tweede Divisie
14.05.22	Noordwijk - Amsterdamsche FC	1:1 ✺
07.05.22	Amsterdamsche FC - GVVV	0:3 ✺
30.04.22	Scheveningen - Amsterdamsche FC	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Amsterdamsche FC - Rijnsburgse Boys	1:3 ✺
18.04.22	Katwijk - Amsterdamsche FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
09.03.22	Amsterdamsche FC - ASWH	2:0
03.10.20	Amsterdamsche FC - ASWH	3:2
12.10.19	Amsterdamsche FC - ASWH	4:0

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