Match Info

Date: 26 October 2021, Tuesday


	ASWH		Heracles Almelo

	1	X	2
	8	5.75	1.25
	7.5	5.5	1.27
	7.5	5.2	1.3
	7.8	5.8	1.26
	8.05	5.46	1.3
	10	5.25	1.25
	8.5	6.05	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.19 ↑ (6)	5.57 ↑ (5)	1.27 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASWH
11.2%

Draw
16.5%

Heracles Almelo
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

18.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

15.8%

76.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASWH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heracles Almelo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASWH than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ASWH - Heracles Almelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

ASWH is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Heracles is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ASWH could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Heracles is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASWH
Dutch Tweede Divisie
16.10.21	ASWH - Quick Boys	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	Rijnsburgse Boys - ASWH	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	ASWH - Spakenburg	3:1 ✺
25.09.21	De Treffers - ASWH	1:0 ✺
11.09.21	IJsselmeervogels - ASWH	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWLL
- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie
23.10.21	Zwolle - Heracles Almelo	1:0 ✺
16.10.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo	4:2 ✺
02.10.21	Heracles Almelo - Willem II	3:2 ✺
26.09.21	Heracles Almelo - Waalwijk	1:0 ✺
23.09.21	Cambuur - Heracles Almelo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL

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