Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 16

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Erve Asito (Almelo)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)


	Heracles Almelo		FC Oss

	1	X	2
	1.18	7.5	15
	1.16	7.25	13
	1.2	6.5	11.5
	1.16	6.6	13
	1.18	7.24	16.87
	1.14	6	17
	1.17	7.2	14.5	Watch
	1.16	6.8	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.35)	6.89 ↑ (4.82)	14.23 ↑ (7.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heracles Almelo
79.9%

Draw
13.6%

FC Oss
6.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

19.1%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

18.3%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heracles Almelo's performance.

FC Oss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Oss might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heracles Almelo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Oss could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Heracles Almelo - FC Oss Predictions

Users Predictions: Heracles Almelo will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 16).

Heracles is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Oss is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Heracles is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Heracles won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Heracles won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.11.22	Heracles Almelo - NAC Breda	5:1 ✺
04.11.22	Willem II - Heracles Almelo	1:2 ✺
28.10.22	Almere City - Heracles Almelo	3:2 ✺
21.10.22	Heracles Almelo - FC Eindhoven	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.10.22	Roda - Heracles Almelo	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW
- FC Oss
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.11.22	FC Oss - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
04.11.22	FC Oss - Zwolle	0:5 ✺
28.10.22	De Graafschap - FC Oss	2:0 ✺
21.10.22	FC Oss - Roda	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.10.22	Almere City - FC Oss	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.07.15	Heracles Almelo - FC Oss	2:1

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