The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zwolle 64.4%
Draw 19.1%
Heracles Almelo 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
18.8%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
14.6%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zwolle that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heracles Almelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
62.5%
0%
Zwolle - Heracles Almelo Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. de Graaff T. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 28. Graves S. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 2. Floranus S. 30. Thomas R. (C) 8. Buurmeester Z. 18. Velanas O. 25. Oosting T. 22. de Rooij K. 10. Kostons K.
16. Jansink T. (G) 2. Benita M. 4. Mirani D. (C) 18. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 5. van der Kust D. 13. Zamburek J. 32. Scheperman S. 17. van Gilst T. 73. Ould Chikh W. 8. Engels M. 19. Kulenovic L.
Substitutes
48. Bakker L. (G) 29. Buitink T. 34. Fichtinger N. 6. Gooijer T. 45. Kroeze R. 35. Monteiro J. 20. Reiziger G. 42. Ruward D. 5. Velthuis T. 41. Verduin D. (G)
14. Ahlstrand E. 39. Blokhuis S. 20. Bozinovski R. 6. Cestic S. 41. Hamamioglu T. 7. Limbombe B. 30. Mantel R. (G) 22. Pasveer R. (G) 23. te Wierik M. 3. Wieckhoff J. 38. Wijnreder J. 25. Zeefuik L.
Coaches
Van Der Vegt H.
Faber E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Garcia MacNulty A. ⚽, Thomas R. (A),
21', Thomas R. 🟨,
31', Van Hoorenbeeck A. 🟨,
38', van der Kust D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', van der Kust D. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
59', Ould Chikh W. ↓, Limbombe B. ↑,
59', Engels M. ↓, Ahlstrand E. ↑,
62', Scheperman S. 🟨,
63', Scheperman S. 🟨,
68', Floranus S. 🟨,
71', Zamburek J. ↓, Cestic S. ↑,
72', Velanas O. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
73', Thomas R. ↓, Monteiro J. ↑,
80', Floranus S. ↓, Velthuis T. ↑,
87', Benita M. ↓, Hamamioglu T. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
Heracles is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 2.
Zwolle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Heracles has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Heracles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Zwolle is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Zwolle: Faberski J.
(Inactive)
Lagsir S.
(Muscle Injury)
Monteiro J.
(Muscle Injury)
Pereira da Gama J.
(Inactive)
Schendelaar J.
(Thigh Injury)
Shoretire S.
(Knee Injury)
Voute D.
(Inactive)
van der Haar D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Heracles: de Keijzer F.
(Inactive)
te Wierik M.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:36. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
Netherlands
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de Graaff T. (G) 
Graves S. 
Garcia MacNulty A. 
Floranus S. 
Thomas R. (C) 
Van Hoorenbeeck A. 
van der Kust D. 
Zamburek J. 
Engels M. 
Kulenovic L. 
Monteiro J. 
Ahlstrand E. 
Bozinovski R. 
Cestic S. 
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