Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 3

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Asito Stadium (Almelo)

Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	Heracles Almelo		Willem II

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.8
	2.42	3.45	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3.55	2.99
	2.44	3.37	2.91	Watch
	2.38	3.5	2.75
	2.43	3.5	2.83	Watch
	2.42	3.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.23)	3.45 ↓ (3.75)	2.86 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Heracles Almelo
39.2%

Draw
27.6%

Willem II
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.3%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Heracles Almelo - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Willem II will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Keijzer F. (G) 2. Benita M. 4. Mirani D. 24. Mesik I. 12. Roosken R. 23. Talvitie J. 14. De Keersmaecker B. (C) 26. van Kaam D. 7. Limbombe B. 8. Engels M. 10. Zand S.	1. Didillon T. (G) 7. Doodeman N. 25. Tirpan M. 30. Behounek R. 33. St. Jago T. 5. Sigurgeirsson R. 8. Bosch J. (C) 34. Lachkar A. 16. Meerveld R. 9. Vaesen K. 14. Sandra C.
Substitutes
5. Bruijn J. 17. Bruns T. 39. Codinha T. 16. Jansink T. (G) 18. Leerdam K. 30. Mantel R. (G) 22. Milani L. 29. Podgoreanu S. 28. Sambo G. 32. Scheperman S. 27. Tijink J. 3. Wieckhoff J.	18. Bokila J. 10. De Waal M. 17. Joosten P. 11. Kehrer E. 48. Mathijsen J. 22. Nizet R. 35. Razak K. 41. Schut M. (G) 24. van den Berg C. (G) 50. van Loon P. 20. Vermeulen V.
Coaches
van de Looi E.	Maes P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 1 - 0, Talvitie J. ⚽, Engels M. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Bosch J. ⚽, Vaesen K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Roosken R. 🟨,
58', Limbombe B. ↓, Podgoreanu S. ↑,
58', van Kaam D. ↓, Scheperman S. ↑,
62', Bosch J. 🟨,
71', Engels M. 🟨,
74', Sigurgeirsson R. 🟨,
79', Vaesen K. ↓, Vermeulen V. ↑,
79', Doodeman N. ↓, Bokila J. ↑,
82', Lachkar A. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heracles won 3.

Heracles is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Willem II is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Heracles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Heracles: Zamburek J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heracles: Bultman S. (Injury) Cestic S. (Ankle Injury) Hoogma J. (Knee Injury) Hornkamp J. (Knee Injury) van Oorschot D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Willem II: Schouten E. (Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Heracles won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 34-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Heracles won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie
18.08.24	Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
11.08.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Groningen - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Heracles Almelo - Excelsior	1:2 ✺
19.07.24	Preußen Münster - Heracles Almelo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLLT
- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
18.08.24	Willem II - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Feyenoord - Willem II	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Bristol City - Willem II	0:0 ✺
27.07.24	Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam	2:4 ✺
23.07.24	Willem II - Roda	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 WTTL?

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.02.23	Heracles Almelo - Willem II	1:1
04.11.22	Willem II - Heracles Almelo	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
07.05.22	Willem II - Heracles Almelo	2:0
02.10.21	Heracles Almelo - Willem II	3:2
10.04.21	Heracles Almelo - Willem II	4:0
20.09.20	Willem II - Heracles Almelo	4:0
02.02.20	Willem II - Heracles Almelo	1:0

Upcoming Matches