Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	20:30	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	19:30	SportKlub 3
Netherlands	19:30	Ziggo Sport 2
Serbia	19:30	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	19:30	SportKlub 4


	AZ Alkmaar		Levski Sofia

	1	X	2
	1.48	5	5.5	Watch
	1.37	4.75	6.75
	1.39	4.95	6.4	Watch
	1.47	4.8	6.1
	1.02	14.54	30.00	Watch
	1.36	4.4	7.5
	1.41	4.86	7.85	Watch
	1.3	4.6	8.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	5.99 ↑ (4.6)	9.88 ↑ (8.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
73.4%

Draw
16.6%

Levski Sofia
10%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.9%

19.8%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

17.4%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Levski Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	13.8%	10.3%

AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -1.5 - AZ (2.15) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Users Predictions: AZ Alkmaar will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AZ Alkmaar will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Levski (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 30. Kasius D. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 26. Smit K. 6. Koopmeiners P. 11. Sadiq I. 35. Meerdink M. 27. Daal R.	92. Vutsov S. (G) 21. Neves A. 50. Dimitrov K. 6. Tsunami (C) 3. Maicon 18. Trdin G. 17. Everton Bala 10. Mitkov A. 88. Petkov M. 77. Rupanov B. 99. Kirilov R.
Substitutes
28. Buurmeester Z. 15. Chavez Garcia M. 4. Dekker M. 22. Dijkstra E. 17. Jensen I. 21. Kwakman D. 10. Mijnans S. 23. van Duijl B. 60. van Duijn S. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 25. Zeefuik L. 41. Zoet J. (G)	95. Fabien K. 7. Fabio Lima 71. Kamdem O. 70. Kostadinov G. 78. Lukov M. (G) 4. Makoun C. 23. Myslovic P. 37. Rildo 12. Sangare M. 31. Serafimov N. 22. Soula M. 1. Vladimirov O. (G)
Coaches
Martens M.	Velazquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Sadiq I. ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, Meerdink M. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
9', Clasie J. 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 0, Sadiq I. ⚽, Meerdink M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Clasie J. ↓, Kwakman D. ↑,
46', 3 - 1, Everton Bala ⚽, Maicon (A),
60', Rupanov B. 🟨,
63', Sadiq I. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
63', Smit K. ↓, Mijnans S. ↑,
66', Mitkov A. 🟨,
66', Rupanov B. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
66', Petkov M. ↓, Soula M. ↑,
69', Sangare M. 🟨,
77', Kirilov R. ↓, Rildo ↑,
77', Everton Bala ↓, Fabien K. ↑,
78', Daal R. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
78', Meerdink M. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
84', Maicon ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
86', 4 - 1, Zeefuik L. ⚽, Jensen I. (A),

Preview

1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.

AZ is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Levski is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.

We predict that AZ will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.08.25	Volendam - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Vaduz - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
10.08.25	AZ Alkmaar - Groningen	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	AZ Alkmaar - Vaduz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWWW
- Levski Sofia
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.08.25	Botev Vratsa - Levski Sofia	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Sabah - Levski Sofia	0:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.08.25	Levski Sofia - Spartak Varna	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Levski Sofia - Sabah	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar	0:2

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