The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AZ Alkmaar 73.4%
Draw 16.6%
Levski Sofia 10%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.9%
19.8%
10.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.5%
18.8%
9.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Levski Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75.9%
13.8%
10.3%
AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
AH -1.5 - AZ (2.15) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Users Predictions:
AZ Alkmaar will win
(22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AZ Alkmaar will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Levski (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 30. Kasius D. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 26. Smit K. 6. Koopmeiners P. 11. Sadiq I. 35. Meerdink M. 27. Daal R.
92. Vutsov S. (G) 21. Neves A. 50. Dimitrov K. 6. Tsunami (C) 3. Maicon 18. Trdin G. 17. Everton Bala 10. Mitkov A. 88. Petkov M. 77. Rupanov B. 99. Kirilov R.
Substitutes
28. Buurmeester Z. 15. Chavez Garcia M. 4. Dekker M. 22. Dijkstra E. 17. Jensen I. 21. Kwakman D. 10. Mijnans S. 23. van Duijl B. 60. van Duijn S. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 25. Zeefuik L. 41. Zoet J. (G)
95. Fabien K. 7. Fabio Lima 71. Kamdem O. 70. Kostadinov G. 78. Lukov M. (G) 4. Makoun C. 23. Myslovic P. 37. Rildo 12. Sangare M. 31. Serafimov N. 22. Soula M. 1. Vladimirov O. (G)
Coaches
Martens M.
Velazquez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Sadiq I. ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, Meerdink M. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
9', Clasie J. 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 0, Sadiq I. ⚽, Meerdink M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Clasie J. ↓, Kwakman D. ↑,
46', 3 - 1, Everton Bala ⚽, Maicon (A),
60', Rupanov B. 🟨,
63', Sadiq I. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
63', Smit K. ↓, Mijnans S. ↑,
66', Mitkov A. 🟨,
66', Rupanov B. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
66', Petkov M. ↓, Soula M. ↑,
69', Sangare M. 🟨,
77', Kirilov R. ↓, Rildo ↑,
77', Everton Bala ↓, Fabien K. ↑,
78', Daal R. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
78', Meerdink M. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
84', Maicon ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
86', 4 - 1, Zeefuik L. ⚽, Jensen I. (A),
Preview
1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
AZ is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Levski is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.
We predict that AZ will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, AZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.