Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 1

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Japan	U-NEXT
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	AZ Alkmaar		Groningen

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8	Watch
	1.42	4.8	7
	1.37	4.95	8.3
	1.39	5.03	8.23
	1.10	9.43	22.00	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.39	5.06	8.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.52)	5.54 ↑ (4.38)	9.8 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
72.4%

Draw
17.6%

Groningen
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.7%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Groningen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	38.1%	0%

AZ Alkmaar - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Zoet J. (G) 30. Kasius D. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 26. Smit K. 8. Clasie J. (C) 10. Mijnans S. 7. Poku E. 9. Parrott T. 27. Daal R.	21. Jurjus H. (G) 5. Rente M. 3. Blokzijl T. 43. Peersman M. 2. Prins W. 8. de Jonge T. 6. Resink S. (C) 10. Taha Y. 17. van der Werff D. 26. van Bergen T. 9. Willumsson B.
Substitutes
28. Buurmeester Z. 15. Chavez Garcia M. 31. Deen D. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 17. Jensen I. 6. Koopmeiners P. 21. Kwakman D. 35. Meerdink M. 11. Sadiq I. 12. Verhulst H. (G)	24. Baron D. (G) 22. Bouland S. 44. Dillema J. 11. Emeran N. 69. Hoekstra M. 55. Holder Y. 48. Kelder R. 27. Mendes R. 16. Mercera T. 41. Petiet S. (G) 14. Schreuders J. 20. Seuntjens M.
Coaches
Martens M.	Lukkien D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Kasius D. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Parrott T. (Pen),
32', 3 - 0, Resink S. (Own goal),
35', de Wit M. 🟨,
44', 3 - 1, Rente M. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
45+2', Smit K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', van der Werff D. ↓, Schreuders J. ↑,
61', Peersman M. 🟨,
66', Prins W. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
68', Daal R. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
74', Rente M. ↓, Emeran N. ↑,
76', Smit K. ↓, Koopmeiners P. ↑,
77', Poku E. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
77', de Wit M. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
84', Mijnans S. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Parrott T. ⚽, Chavez Garcia M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 4.

In recent matches, AZ has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, AZ has had a series of home games.

In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Groningen: Turay F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in AZ: Dekker M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Groningen: van der Laan E. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:17. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 1.9:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

AZ Alkmaar - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 62.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	AZ Alkmaar - Vaduz	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.25	AZ Alkmaar - OFI	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	AZ Alkmaar - Ilves	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	AZ Alkmaar - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Ilves - AZ Alkmaar	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WTWLL
- FC Groningen
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Groningen - NEC Nijmegen	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Emmen - Groningen	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.05.25	Zwolle - Groningen	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Groningen - Ajax	2:2 ✺
11.05.25	AZ Alkmaar - Groningen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
11.05.25	AZ Alkmaar - Groningen	3:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.24	AZ Alkmaar - Groningen	3:1
Dutch Eredivisie
25.08.24	Groningen - AZ Alkmaar	0:0
11.03.23	AZ Alkmaar - Groningen	1:0
01.10.22	Groningen - AZ Alkmaar	1:4
21.12.21	AZ Alkmaar - Groningen	1:0
24.10.21	Groningen - AZ Alkmaar	2:0

Upcoming Matches