Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 2

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Kras Stadion (Volendam)

Referee: Vos M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Volendam		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	7	5.5	1.36	Watch
	6	4.8	1.47
	7.3	5.4	1.37
	7.43	5.6	1.38
	6.14	5.21	1.41	Watch
	5.5	4.6	1.44
	6.99	5.16	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.62 ↑ (4.75)	5.18 ↑ (4.15)	1.41 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
14.3%

Draw
18.3%

AZ Alkmaar
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

22.7%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

22.2%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Volendam's form might have worsened.

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AZ Alkmaar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volendam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	8.7%	87%

Volendam - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - AZ (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AZ Alkmaar will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Oevelen K. (G) 2. Payne D. 4. Mbuyamba X. 3. Amevor M. 32. Leliendal Y. 18. Bukala N. 8. Yah G. 11. Oehlers A. 21. Muhren R. 7. Kokcu O. 9. Veerman H. (C)	1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 30. Kasius D. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 26. Smit K. 8. Clasie J. (C) 10. Mijnans S. 11. Sadiq I. 9. Parrott T. 27. Daal R.
Substitutes
36. de Haan M. 17. Ideho J. 10. Kuwas B. 27. Mau-Asam M. 14. Meijers A. 6. Plat A. 16. Steur R. (G) 39. Tielemans J. 5. Ugwu P. 40. van Cruijsen R. 20. Verschuren N. 22. Vlak D. (G)	28. Buurmeester Z. 15. Chavez Garcia M. 22. Dijkstra E. 7. Hartog J. 17. Jensen I. 6. Koopmeiners P. 21. Kwakman D. 35. Meerdink M. 52. van Duijn S. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 41. Zoet J. (G)
Coaches
Kruys R.	Martens M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Oehlers A. ⚽,
13', Bukala N. 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Sadiq I. ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mijnans S. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
53', de Wit M. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Parrott T. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
58', Sadiq I. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
58', Daal R. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
61', Kokcu O. ↓, Kuwas B. ↑,
61', Oehlers A. ↓, Ideho J. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Mbuyamba X. ⚽, Kuwas B. (A),
71', Clasie J. ↓, Koopmeiners P. ↑,
74', de Wit M. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
74', Muhren R. ↓, van Cruijsen R. ↑,
80', Yah G. ↓, Plat A. ↑,
80', Veerman H. ↓, de Haan M. ↑,
85', Parrott T. 🟨,
89', Buurmeester Z. 🟨,
90+3', Mbuyamba X. ↓, Verschuren N. ↑,

Preview

Volendam has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

AZ is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Volendam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Volendam has had a series of away games.

Recently, AZ has had a series of home games.

In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.

There will not play in AZ: Dekker M. (Injury) Maikuma S. (Inactive) Zeefuik L. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:18. (average 0.6:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Volendam won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Dutch Eredivisie
09.08.25	Heerenveen - Volendam	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	VVV-Venlo - Volendam	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	NAC Breda - Volendam	6:1 ✺
19.07.25	Norwich City - Volendam	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	RKAV Volendam - Volendam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLTW
- AZ Alkmaar
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Vaduz - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
10.08.25	AZ Alkmaar - Groningen	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	AZ Alkmaar - Vaduz	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.25	AZ Alkmaar - OFI	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	AZ Alkmaar - Ilves	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
17.03.24	Volendam - AZ Alkmaar	0:4
26.11.23	AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	3:0
04.02.23	Volendam - AZ Alkmaar	1:1
30.10.22	AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	2:1
Club Friendly
09.07.16	AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	8:1

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