Match Info

1st Division - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Aalborg Portland Park (Aalborg)

Referee: Gammelholm P. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Aalborg BK		HB Køge

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.90	4.50	Watch
	1.65	3.90	4.33
	1.60	4.30	4.70
	1.72	4.00	4.00
	1.62	4.28	4.73	Watch
	1.70	3.85	4.65
	1.66	3.89	4.72	Watch
	1.65	3.80	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	3.99 ↓ (4.17)	4.49 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aalborg BK
56%

Draw
23.3%

HB Køge
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

22.4%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

22%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Aalborg BK aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Aalborg BK - HB Køge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 25. Borsting F. 33. Makolli E. 24. Arnorsson N. A. 4. Tiedemann B. (C) 17. Jasson A. 23. Kaasa M. 14. Kubel M. 8. Hapnes A. 11. Normann K. 19. Nwadik B.	1. Sommergaard N. (G) 8. Romer M. 22. Jakobsen M. 2. Bust L. 14. Sorensen V. 7. Jensen M. (C) 28. Larsen G. 6. Brodersen R. 19. Semovski E. 9. Thomsen T. 11. Warming M.
Substitutes
7. Adedeji J. 26. Bonde M. 22. De Boer R. (G) 9. Helenius N. 27. John K. 28. Moller V. 5. Nielsen M. 16. Persyn T. 30. Thomsen W.	17. Achton L. 5. Culhaci G. 4. Hald S. 21. Jakobsen N. 16. Mols C. (G) 27. Stolshoj N. 30. Villumsen E. 23. Westergren M.
Coaches
Hojer S.	Pedersen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Semovski E. 🟨,
45', Sorensen V. ↓, Hald S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Kaasa M. 🟨,
56', Warming M. ↓, Stolshoj N. ↑,
65', Kaasa M. ↓, Moller V. ↑,
66', Borsting F. ↓, Persyn T. ↑,
76', Nwadik B. ↓, John K. ↑,
76', Kubel M. ↓, Adedeji J. ↑,
79', Romer M. ↓, Westergren M. ↑,
79', Semovski E. ↓, Culhaci G. ↑,
87', Larsen G. 🟨,
87', Normann K. ↓, Helenius N. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 4.

Aalborg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Køge has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aalborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aalborg is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.9:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalborg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Aalborg: 4.87% Koge: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aalborg	9	3	4	2	11:11	0	13
11	Koge	9	1	4	4	11:17	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

HB Køge - the odds 4.12 are the expected chance of winning is 22.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division
21.08.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Aalborg BK - Fredericia	0:3 ✺
09.08.26	Aalborg BK - Kolding IF	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.08.26	Holstebro - Aalborg BK	1:3 ✺
Danish 1 Division
31.07.26	Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWW
- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
23.08.26	HB Køge - Kolding IF	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	HB Køge - Hvidovre	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Aarhus Fremad - HB Køge	3:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.08.26	Brønshøj BK - HB Køge	1:0 ✺
Danish 1 Division
31.07.26	HB Køge - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
30.05.26	Aalborg BK - HB Køge	1:0
26.04.26	HB Køge - Aalborg BK	1:1
02.10.25	Aalborg BK - HB Køge	2:1
10.08.25	HB Køge - Aalborg BK	0:2
03.12.23	HB Køge - Aalborg BK	1:2
22.09.23	Aalborg BK - HB Køge	2:0
Danish Landspokal Cup
27.11.19	HB Køge - Aalborg BK	0:3

Upcoming Matches