The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aalesunds 45.9%
Draw 28.8%
Haugesund 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
27.5%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
27%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aalesunds's performance.
Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haugesund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haugesund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Aalesunds - Haugesund Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Aalesunds will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Haugesund will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aalesunds: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 14 in the zone Eliteserien (Relegation)).
Aalesunds has the most likely position - 16 (38.3%), project points - 25, currently - 0, a good chance of relegated (65%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Haugesund has the most likely position - 14 (13.3%), project points - 32, currently - 4, a chance of relegated (32%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality21, importance45, match rating33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 1.
Aalesunds has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Haugesund is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Aalesunds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Aalesunds: Ammitzboll A.
(Injury)
There will not play in Haugesund: Eskesen J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Aalesunds: Stolas A.
(Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25-28.
Including matches at home between the teams Aalesunds won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-12.
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