Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 2

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Marienlyst Stadion (Drammen)

Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)


	Strømsgodset		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.4
	2.12	3.4	3.5
	2.11	3.51	3.71
	2	3.3	3.4
	2.01	3.62	3.58	Watch
	2.03	3.45	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.03)	3.44 ↓ (3.52)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strømsgodset
45.8%

Draw
27.4%

Aalesunds
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.7%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

26.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Aalesunds aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Strømsgodset - Aalesunds Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Strømsgodset will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Strømsgodset has the most likely position - 14 (9.44%), project points - 35, currently - 0, a chance of relegated (23%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Aalesunds has the most likely position - 15 (12.17%), project points - 33, currently - 0, a chance of relegated (30%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 25, importance 38, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Strømsgodset won 1.

Strømsgodset is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aalesunds is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aalesunds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Aalesunds have a series of home games.

Strømsgodset will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Aalesunds: Ammitzboll A. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Strømsgodset won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Strømsgodset won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strømsgodset IF
Club Friendly
02.04.23	Strømsgodset - Sandefjord	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Strømsgodset - Mjøndalen	4:0 ✺
17.03.23	Vålerenga - Strømsgodset	3:2 ✺
12.03.23	Strømsgodset - Sarpsborg 08	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Odd - Strømsgodset	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TWLLL
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
10.04.23	Aalesunds - Vålerenga	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.04.23	Aalesunds - Kristiansund	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Aalesunds - Molde	0:3 ✺
10.03.23	Aalesunds - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
03.03.23	Rosenborg - Aalesunds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
04.09.22	Strømsgodset - Aalesunds	1:2
03.07.22	Aalesunds - Strømsgodset	1:0
09.12.20	Aalesunds - Strømsgodset	1:4
28.06.20	Strømsgodset - Aalesunds	1:1
26.11.17	Aalesunds - Strømsgodset	4:3
09.04.17	Strømsgodset - Aalesunds	1:1
18.09.16	Aalesunds - Strømsgodset	4:2

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