Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 15

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Bislett Stadium (Oslo)

Referee: Grundt J. W. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Lyn		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.2
	3.1	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.23	3.48	2.29
	4.88	4.02	1.62	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.3
	3.18	3.38	2.22	Watch
	2.95	3.8	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.9)	3.52 ↓ (3.8)	2.14 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyn
29%

Draw
26.8%

Aalesunds
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

24.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	46.2%	30.8%

Lyn - Aalesunds Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lyn will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Aalesunds will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyn (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Lyn (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyn (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedersen A. (C) 55. Haugen S. 29. Sylla M. 6. Midtskogen A. 18. Nilsen H. 23. Laghzaoui S. 5. Bydal E. 24. Fredriksen D. 9. Olsen A. 11. Hellum A. 10. Johansen M.	1. Grytebust S. (G) 25. Kitolano J. 5. Kjelsen A. 3. Gudmundsson O. 11. Johannsson D. 7. Nesso K. 6. Hammer H. 21. Christensen M. 16. Orsahl J. 9. Ngongo P. (C) 17. Myrlid E.
Substitutes
17. Arzani D. 27. Barnett I. 16. Berntsen A. 77. Hylen B. 25. Ingebrigtsen M. 19. Myhre T. 4. Sell W. 2. Stalesen J. 12. Wold J. (G)	2. Andresen M. 23. Froysa E. 4. Haram S. 19. Heiselberg F. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K. 8. Melland H.
Coaches
Aadland M.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Hammer H. ⚽, Christensen M. (A),
23', Sylla M. 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Myrlid E. ⚽, Orsahl J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Ngongo P. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Johansen M. ⚽,
62', Myrlid E. ↓, Melland H. ↑,
63', Fredriksen D. ↓, Myhre T. ↑,
65', Myhre T. 🟨,
67', Kitolano J. ↓, Haram S. ↑,
67', Ngongo P. ↓, Heiselberg F. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Hellum A. ⚽, Laghzaoui S. (A),
89', Johansen M. ↓, Hylen B. ↑,
90+5', Johannsson D. ↓, Andresen M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Lyn has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aalesunds's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aalesunds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lyn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Aalesunds - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.16%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.07.25	Egersund - Lyn	0:5 ✺
29.06.25	Lyn - Åsane	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Sogndal - Lyn	1:2 ✺
18.06.25	Lyn - Raufoss	3:2 ✺
15.06.25	Start - Lyn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWWWT
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.07.25	Aalesunds - Moss	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Egersund - Aalesunds	2:2 ✺
28.06.25	Skeid - Aalesunds	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
25.06.25	Aalesunds - Viking Stavanger	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.06.25	Aalesunds - Odd	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.03.25	Lyn - Aalesunds	4:5
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.09.24	Lyn - Aalesunds	0:0
15.04.24	Aalesunds - Lyn	0:3

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