Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 10

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Romssa Arena (Tromsø)

Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play


	Tromsø		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7	Watch
	1.46	4.5	6
	1.43	4.65	6.8	Watch
	1.49	4.9	6.8
	1.47	5.02	6.59	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6
	1.44	4.87	6.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)	4.71 ↑ (4.08)	6.56 ↓ (6.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsø
65.5%

Draw
20.1%

Aalesunds
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

23.2%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

22.4%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tromsø - Aalesunds Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tromsø (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tromsø will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Haugaard J. (G) 2. Cornic L. 4. Skjaervik V. 21. Guddal T. 25. Kinteh A. S. 37. Innvaer S. 5. Edvardsson D. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 6. Hjerto-Dahl J. 10. Nyhammer T. 22. Larsen H.	1. Klaesson K. (G) 2. Andresen M. 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. (C) 25. Syversen U. 14. Charles U. 21. Christensen M. 18. Hagen E. 15. Osenbroch E. 8. Melland H. 27. Reed M.
Substitutes
9. Braut D. 19. Elvebu A. L. 24. Husebo J. 7. Larsen L. O. 12. Lauvli O. (G) 27. Mikkelsen M. 14. Prestmo S. 3. Tonnessen M. 30. Vadebu I.	20. Djantou I. 22. Engqvist E. 6. Hammer H. 30. Knutsen S. K. 26. Larsen T. (G) 17. Myrlid E. 7. Nesso K. 16. Orsahl J.
Coaches
Vik J.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Innvaer S. ⚽, Hjerto-Dahl J. (A),
28', Reed M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Innvaer S. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Christensen M. ⚽,
66', Nyhammer T. ↓, Larsen L. O. ↑,
66', Larsen H. ↓, Braut D. ↑,
67', Andresen M. ↓, Nesso K. ↑,
67', Reed M. ↓, Djantou I. ↑,
75', Melland H. ↓, Hammer H. ↑,
82', Syversen U. 🟨,
85', Hjerto-Dahl J. ↓, Prestmo S. ↑,
90+3', Osenbroch E. ↓, Engqvist E. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tromsø may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tromsø is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Tromsø: Ekblom V. (Groin Injury) Grundt J. (Foot Injury) Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Aalesunds: Aukland P. (Knock) Kristensen M. (Injury) Ngongo P. (Surgery) Seehusen J. (Injury) Syversen U. (Injury)

There are questionable in Aalesunds: Andresen M. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tromsø won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Tromso: 1.13%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	40:29	11	38
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	33:46	-13	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.05.26	Bodø Glimt - Tromsø	5:0 ✺
10.05.26	Tromsø - Molde	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Start - Tromsø	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Tromsø - Brann	0:5 ✺
26.04.26	Tromsø - Sandefjord	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTLW
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.05.26	Aalesunds - Brann	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Rosenborg - Aalesunds	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Sandefjord - Aalesunds	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Aalesunds - Kristiansund	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.04.26	Brann - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.03.25	Tromsø - Aalesunds	0:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
08.10.23	Tromsø - Aalesunds	1:2
11.06.23	Aalesunds - Tromsø	2:3
13.11.22	Tromsø - Aalesunds	2:2
18.04.22	Aalesunds - Tromsø	2:2
Club Friendly
10.02.22	Aalesunds - Tromsø	2:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.08.17	Tromsø - Aalesunds	3:2

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