Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 12

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Lien M. (Nor)


	Aalesunds		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3	3.4	2.25
	3	3.4	2.33
	3.17	3.58	2.31
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	3.06	3.54	2.25
	3.1	3.3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	3.42 ↑ (3.17)	2.26 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
31%

Draw
27.5%

Rosenborg
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

29.1%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

28.2%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

The chances for Rosenborg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	15.4%	73.1%

Aalesunds - Rosenborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Aalesunds will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Rosenborg will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grytebust S. (G) 31. Munksgaard A. 5. Fallman D. (C) 30. Andersen A. 25. Kitolano J. 10. Barmen K. 6. Segberg E. 22. Karlsbakk M. 15. Odemarksbakken K. 29. Kristensen B. 19. Atanga I.	1. Hansen A. (G) 2. Reitan E. (C) 15. Rogers S. 23. Jenssen U. 20. Tagseth E. 21. Skarsem O. 6. Vaananen S. 18. Bjorlo M. 10. Holse C. 9. Saeter O. 80. Ingason K.
Substitutes
21. Diop A. 27. Diop M. 14. Kolskogen O. 40. Kolve E. 13. Lansing M. (G) 7. Lunding K. 37. Melland H. 2. Murray T. 23. Stolas A.	29. Aga O. 32. Cornic L. 41. Nypan S. 19. Pereira A. 16. Rosten H. 22. Sadiku A. 5. Skjelbred P. 24. Tangvik S. (G)
Coaches
Johnsen C.	Maalen S.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 0.

The competitors look crappy now.

Aalesunds could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Aalesunds: Ammitzboll A. (Injury)

There will not play in Rosenborg: Augustinsson J. (Injury) Borkeeiet T. (Injury) Thorvaldsson I. (Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 16-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Aalesunds won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
11.06.23	Aalesunds - Tromsø	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Aalesunds - Brann	3:4 penalties ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.06.23	Aalesunds - Brann	1:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Byåsen - Aalesunds	1:6 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.05.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Aalesunds	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
25.06.23	Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08	0:3 ✺
11.06.23	Stabæk - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
04.06.23	Rosenborg - Hamarkameratene	4:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Stjørdals-Blink - Rosenborg	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.05.23	Brann - Rosenborg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.03.23	Rosenborg - Aalesunds	1:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.08.22	Rosenborg - Aalesunds	2:1
17.07.22	Aalesunds - Rosenborg	0:0
Club Friendly
13.06.22	Rosenborg - Aalesunds	2:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.09.20	Aalesunds - Rosenborg	1:2
16.08.20	Rosenborg - Aalesunds	3:2
Norwegian NM Cup
26.06.19	Rosenborg - Aalesunds	1:2 penalties

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