The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarpsborg 08 62.6%
Draw 21.4%
Aalesunds 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
23.6%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
23.5%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.3%
0%
22.7%
Sarpsborg 08 - Aalesunds Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Aalesunds will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg: 59.8% – 94.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kristiansen A. (G) 32. Wichne E. 4. Utvik B. (C) 31. Skipper A. 17. Soltvedt J. 18. Martinsson Ngouali S. 8. Andersen J. 90. Baah C. 11. Tibbling S. 25. Maigaard M. 10. Lundqvist R.
1. Grytebust S. (G) 14. Kolskogen O. 5. Fallman D. (C) 30. Andersen A. 31. Munksgaard A. 21. Diop A. 6. Segberg E. 25. Kitolano J. 7. Lunding K. 19. Atanga I. 11. Ebiye M.
Substitutes
7. Andersen M. 72. Christiansen S. 6. Hoyland M. 23. Mogensen G. 22. Opseth K. 40. Oy L. (G) 15. Skalevik S. 29. Torp V. 77. Welinder M.
22. Karlsbakk M. 29. Kristensen B. 13. Lansing M. (G) 3. Moe J. 2. Murray T. 15. Odemarksbakken K. 23. Stolas A.
Coaches
Billborn S.
Boe M.
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).
Sarpsborg has the most likely position - 4 (10.42%), project points - 45, currently - 12, a very small chance of relegated (2%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Aalesunds has the most likely position - 16 (25.59%), project points - 27, currently - 4, a good chance of relegated (55%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality26, small importance28, small match rating27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg won 4.
Sarpsborg is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Aalesunds is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sarpsborg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Sarpsborg have a series of guest games.
In this match Sarpsborg is a favorite.
There will not play in Aalesunds: Ammitzboll A.
(Injury)
Barmen K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Thomassen J.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Sarpsborg to win the game is with odds 1.51.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Sarpsborg won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.
Watch
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Kristiansen A. (G) 
Skipper A. 
Martinsson Ngouali S. 
Baah C. 
Tibbling S. 
Diop A. 
Ebiye M. 
Lansing M. (G) 
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