The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aalesunds 36%
Draw 24.7%
Vålerenga 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
24.2%
41.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
24.6%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Aalesunds - Vålerenga Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Aalesunds (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Podlech L. (G) 16. Orsahl J. 4. Haram S. 22. Engqvist E. 3. Gudmundsson O. 14. Charles U. 6. Hammer H. 18. Hagen E. 21. Christensen M. (C) 27. Reed M. 15. Osenbroch E.
1. Hedvall O. (G) 55. Jarl S. 4. Olsen A. 37. Nasberg I. (C) 2. Finnsson K. 7. Ofkir M. 24. Strand P. 10. Lange C. 77. Haren L. 17. Grundetjern M. 9. Rajkovic G.
Substitutes
2. Andresen M. 45. Aukland P. 20. Djantou I. 10. Kristensen M. 26. Larsen T. (G) 38. Leikanger T. 39. Lonebu K. 17. Myrlid E. 7. Nesso K.
6. Hedenstad V. 15. Holm O. T. 13. Lonning S. A. A. (G) 90. Saeter O. 3. Sjatil H. 5. Tshiembe K. 28. Westergaard M. 11. Zahid G.
Coaches
Rekdal K.
Moesgaard J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Christensen M. (Penalty Awarded),
13', Haren L. (Penalty Awarded),
14', 1 - 1, Grundetjern M. ⚽,
16', 2 - 1, Reed M. ⚽, Osenbroch E. (A),
29', 3 - 1, Hagen E. ⚽,
33', 3 - 2, Haren L. ⚽, Grundetjern M. (A),
35', 4 - 2, Orsahl J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Rajkovic G. ↓, Westergaard M. ↑,
46', Jarl S. ↓, Sjatil H. ↑,
46', Orsahl J. ↓, Nesso K. ↑,
56', 5 - 2, Christensen M. ⚽, Charles U. (A),
60', Reed M. ↓, Lonebu K. ↑,
63', 5 - 3, Strand P. ⚽, Ofkir M. (A),
70', 5 - 4, Grundetjern M. ⚽, Ofkir M. (A),
73', Nasberg I. ↓, Tshiembe K. ↑,
74', Charles U. ↓, Andresen M. ↑,
74', Gudmundsson O. ↓, Aukland P. ↑,
74', Haren L. ↓, Saeter O. ↑,
76', Tshiembe K. 🟨,
85', 5 - 5, Lange C. ⚽, Finnsson K. (A),
85', Strand P. ↓, Zahid G. ↑,
90+4', Osenbroch E. ↓, Djantou I. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 0.
Aalesunds is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Vålerenga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vålerenga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Aalesunds: Ngongo P.
(Surgery)
Seehusen J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Vålerenga: Bjordal H.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Aalesunds: Aukland P.
(Injury)
Kjelsen A.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Vålerenga: Ambina F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sjoeng M.
(Knee Injury)
Westergaard M.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:41. (average 1.2:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Aalesunds won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Valerenga
21
6
5
10
34:43
-9
23
14
Aalesund
21
4
9
8
33:46
-13
21
Last Results with these Odds
Vålerenga - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.85%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Norway
Usa
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Podlech L. (G) 
Orsahl J. 
Engqvist E. 
Gudmundsson O. 
Charles U. 
Christensen M. (C) 
Djantou I. 
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