Match Info

Super League - Relegation - Final

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Brügglifeld (Aarau) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kanagasingam A. (Sui)


	Aarau		Grasshoppers

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.7	2.4
	2.62	3.5	2.42
	2.73	3.62	2.59
	2.77	3.5	2.47	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.4
	2.59	3.48	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.12)	3.51 ↑ (3.38)	2.47 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarau
35.5%

Draw
26.6%

Grasshoppers
37.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43%

27%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

25.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aarau's form might have worsened.

Grasshoppers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grasshoppers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aarau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grasshoppers than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grasshoppers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Aarau - Grasshoppers Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aarau will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Grasshoppers will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grasshoppers: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Aarau (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aarau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hubel M. (G) 29. Dickenmann M. 15. Muller S. 5. Acquah D. 2. Thaler M. 27. Obexer L. 13. Zoukit N. 10. Fazliu V. 8. Jackle O. (C) 18. Afriyie D. 9. Filet E.	71. Hammel J. (G) 2. Abels D. (C) 20. Ngom M. 27. Kohler S. 57. Rissi N. 8. Meyer T. 54. Krasniqi S. 10. Asp J. 14. Zvonarek L. 18. Lee Young-Jun 99. Frey M.
Substitutes
32. Bobadilla R. 14. Chacon T. 25. Derbaci D. 23. Frokaj L. 3. Guzzo R. 30. Hirzel A. (G) 17. Koide H. 42. Senyurt B. 11. Vladi S.	6. Abrashi A. 34. Arigoni A. 30. Beka I. 11. Diarrassouba S. 1. Glaus N. (G) 5. Imourane H. 52. Marques S. 4. Mikulic L. 31. Ullmann M.
Coaches
Iacopetta B.	Zeidler P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Jackle O. 🟨,
39', Meyer T. 🟨,
41', Obexer L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Zvonarek L. 🟨,
66', Filet E. 🟨,
69', Lee Young-Jun ↓, Imourane H. ↑,
72', Obexer L. ↓, Guzzo R. ↑,
72', Jackle O. ↓, Derbaci D. ↑,
76', Frey M. 🟨,
77', Rissi N. ↓, Ullmann M. ↑,
81', Afriyie D. ↓, Bobadilla R. ↑,
82', Filet E. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
85', Muller S. 🟨,
90+1', Fazliu V. ↓, Frokaj L. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 3.

Aarau is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Grasshoppers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aarau will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Grasshoppers: Bengondo S. (Hamstring Injury) Clemente O. (Broken collarbone) Decarli S. (Injury) Diaby A. (Injury) Plange L. (Injury) Stroscio S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:44. (average 1.1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Grasshoppers	11	2	3	6	13:26	-13	9

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Grasshoppers: 0.43%

Last Results with these Odds

Grasshoppers - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 29.99%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aarau
Swiss Challenge League
15.05.26	Aarau - Yverdon	2:2 ✺
11.05.26	Vaduz - Aarau	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Aarau - Stade Nyonnais	5:1 ✺
01.05.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Wil 1900 - Aarau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWWT
- Grasshoppers
Swiss Super League
16.05.26	Lausanne-Sport - Grasshoppers	1:3 ✺
12.05.26	Grasshoppers - Winterthur	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Zürich - Grasshoppers	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Grasshoppers - Servette	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Grasshoppers - Luzern	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
30.05.25	Aarau - Grasshoppers	1:0
27.05.25	Grasshoppers - Aarau	4:0
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Grasshoppers - Aarau	1:2
25.03.22	Grasshoppers - Aarau	1:1
Swiss Challenge League
30.04.21	Aarau - Grasshoppers	2:1
19.03.21	Grasshoppers - Aarau	4:1
16.02.21	Grasshoppers - Aarau	2:1

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