Match Info

Swiss Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Brügglifeld (Aarau)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Aarau		Sion

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.4	2.15
	2.98	3.35	2.25
	3.04	3.44	2.25
	3.20	3.23	2.24	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.2
	3.06	3.36	2.23	Watch
	3	3.33	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.42)	3.33 ↓ (3.55)	2.22 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarau
30.5%

Draw
27.8%

Sion
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

25.9%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

25.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aarau's form might have worsened.

Sion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aarau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sion than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Aarau - Sion Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aarau will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sion will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aarau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hubel M. (G) 38. Kessler R. 15. Muller S. 5. Acquah D. 2. Thaler M. (C) 3. Guzzo R. 13. Zoukit N. 10. Fazliu V. 23. Frokaj L. 18. Afriyie D. 9. Filet E.	1. Racioppi A. (G) 14. Lavanchy N. 28. Hajrizi K. 17. Kronig J. 20. Hefti N. 88. Kabacalman A. (C) 8. Baltazar 21. Chipperfield L. 29. Berdayes T. 33. Nivokazi R. 7. Chouaref Y.
Substitutes
32. Bobadilla R. 14. Chacon T. 25. Derbaci D. 29. Dickenmann M. 30. Hirzel A. (G) 8. Jackle O. 21. Jakob N. 17. Koide H. 27. Obexer L.	13. Boteli W. 11. Bouchlarhem T. 25. Diack L. 70. Kololli B. 39. Lukembila J. 6. Marquinhos Cipriano 77. Rrudhani D. 12. Ruberto F. (G) 5. Sow N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Chouaref Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Kessler R. 🟨,
61', Nivokazi R. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Hajrizi K. (Own goal),
66', Zoukit N. 🟨,
69', Fazliu V. 🟨,
70', Chipperfield L. ↓, Sow N. ↑,
70', Kessler R. ↓, Dickenmann M. ↑,
76', Afriyie D. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
76', Frokaj L. ↓, Derbaci D. ↑,
80', Acquah D. 🟨,
81', Berdayes T. ↓, Kololli B. ↑,
81', Nivokazi R. ↓, Boteli W. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Boteli W. ⚽,
87', Zoukit N. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
87', Filet E. ↓, Bobadilla R. ↑,
88', Bobadilla R. 🟨,
90+4', Kabacalman A. ↓, Lukembila J. ↑,
90+4', Chouaref Y. ↓, Rrudhani D. ↑,
90+4', Kololli B. 🟨,
90+5', Dickenmann M. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 3, Boteli W. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aarau
Swiss Challenge League
28.11.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Aarau - Stade Nyonnais	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Bellinzona - Aarau	5:1 ✺
01.11.25	Aarau - Rapperswil-Jona	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Aarau - Wil 1900	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW
- FC Sion
Swiss Super League
29.11.25	Lugano - Sion	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Sion - Zürich	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Lausanne-Sport - Sion	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Thun - Sion	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Sion - St. Gallen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
09.05.24	Aarau - Sion	1:2
02.02.24	Sion - Aarau	2:0
26.11.23	Aarau - Sion	0:0
28.07.23	Sion - Aarau	1:0
Swiss Cup
10.02.21	Aarau - Sion	4:2 ET
15.09.19	Aarau - Sion	1:2
Swiss Super League
16.05.15	Sion - Aarau	1:0

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