Match Info

Super League - Round 25

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stockhorn Arena (Thun)

Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Thun		Sion

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.8	4.1	Watch
	1.8	3.75	3.85
	1.84	3.96	4.18
	1.82	3.94	4.01	Watch
	1.75	3.7	3.9
	1.75	3.77	4.29	Watch
	1.77	3.8	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.08)	3.82 ↑ (3.5)	4.08 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thun
52.5%

Draw
24.5%

Sion
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

25.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thun's performance.

Sion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sion than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Thun - Sion Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Thun (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Sion (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Thun will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thun will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Thun (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Sion (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Steffen N. (G) 37. Dahler L. 4. Montolio G. 19. Bamert J. 23. Burki M. (C) 16. Roth J. 6. Bertone L. 77. Meichtry F. 78. Matoshi V. 96. Labeau B. 74. Rastoder E.	1. Racioppi A. (G) 14. Lavanchy N. 24. Dubosson M. 5. Sow N. 20. Hefti N. 25. Diack L. 88. Kabacalman A. (C) 21. Chipperfield L. 29. Berdayes T. 33. Nivokazi R. 7. Chouaref Y.
Substitutes
17. Balaruban A. 90. Dursun F. 5. Franke D. 33. Gutbub M. 27. Heule M. 7. Imeri K. 70. Reichmuth N. 20. Rupp N. 25. Spycher T. (G)	44. Biner N. 13. Boteli W. 38. Kessler R. 70. Kololli B. 22. Llukes A. 39. Lukembila J. 6. Marquinhos Cipriano 12. Ruberto F. (G) 19. Surdez F.
Coaches
Lustrinelli M.	Tholot D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Burki M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Meichtry F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Sow N. 🟨,
64', Meichtry F. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
68', Sow N. 🟥,
71', Nivokazi R. ↓, Surdez F. ↑,
71', Chipperfield L. ↓, Lukembila J. ↑,
76', Labeau B. ↓, Dursun F. ↑,
76', Matoshi V. ↓, Rupp N. ↑,
76', Rastoder E. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
82', Diack L. 🟥,
85', Berdayes T. ↓, Kololli B. ↑,
85', Kabacalman A. ↓, Llukes A. ↑,
85', Chouaref Y. ↓, Boteli W. ↑,
86', Burki M. ↓, Franke D. ↑,
90+2', Kololli B. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 4.

Thun is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Sion has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Thun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Thun is the team to beat.

There will not play in Thun: Fehr F. (Yellow Cards) Heule M. (Muscle Injury) Janjicic V. (Inactive) Ziswiler N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sion: Baltazar (Yellow Cards) Hajrizi K. (Yellow Cards) Kronig J. (Yellow Cards) Rrudhani D. (Injury) Shala A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thun won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Thun won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Sion: 11.93% Thun: 1.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sion	10	6	1	3	23:17	6	19
9	Thun	10	3	1	6	17:27	-10	10

Last Results with these Odds

Thun - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.42%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Thun
Swiss Super League
12.02.26	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	5:1 ✺
08.02.26	Servette - Thun	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Basel - Thun	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Thun - Young Boys	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	Grasshoppers - Thun	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWWW
- FC Sion
Swiss Super League
12.02.26	Sion - Basel	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Sion - Luzern	0:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
03.02.26	Grasshoppers - Sion	4:3 ET ✺
Swiss Super League
31.01.26	Servette - Sion	3:3 ✺
24.01.26	Sion - Luzern	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
01.11.25	Thun - Sion	2:1
25.10.25	Sion - Thun	0:1
Club Friendly
04.07.25	Sion - Thun	1:1
Swiss Challenge League
22.04.24	Thun - Sion	1:0
15.03.24	Sion - Thun	1:2
08.12.23	Thun - Sion	1:1
25.09.23	Sion - Thun	2:3

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