Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Aberdeen		Noah Yerevan

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.8
	2.32	3.45	2.82
	2.47	3.5	2.94
	2.30	3.43	3.02	Watch
	2.41	3.52	3.01
	2.3	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.3)	3.47 ↑ (3.35)	2.92 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberdeen
40.1%

Draw
27.4%

Noah Yerevan
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Noah Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Aberdeen - Noah Yerevan Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Aberdeen will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Noah will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aberdeen: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 3 - 50%). Noah (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Aberdeen (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Aberdeen (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Aberdeen (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Aberdeen (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Noah (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitov D. (G) 2. Devlin N. (C) 22. Milne J. 5. Knoester M. 38. Lobban D. 8. Polvara D. 7. Aouchiche A. 28. Jensen A. 17. Karlsson J. 81. Keskinen T. 15. Nisbet K.	16. Fayulu T. (G) 33. Sualehe D. 39. Saintini N. 3. Muradyan S. 4. Thorarinsson G. 6. Boakye E. 7. Ferreira H. (C) 17. Sangare G. 88. Eteki Y. 77. Grgic A. 32. Mulahusejnovic N.
Substitutes
16. Armstrong S. 10. Clarkson L. 26. Dorrington A. 27. Lazetic M. 11. Milanovic N. 21. Molloy G. 6. Nilsen S. 18. Palaversa A. 4. Shinnie G. 13. Suman N. (G) 41. Vitols R. (G) 9. Yengi K.	18. Avanesyan A. 22. Cancarevic O. (G) 10. Dashyan A. 19. Hambardzumyan H. 47. Jakolis M. 27. Manvelyan G. 9. Matheus Aias 14. Oshima T. 37. Silva G.
Coaches
Thelin J.	Perkovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Nisbet K. ⚽, Keskinen T. (A),
45+3', Keskinen T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Grgic A. ↓, Matheus Aias ↑,
46', Saintini N. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Mulahusejnovic N. ⚽, Matheus Aias (A),
57', Polvara D. ↓, Shinnie G. ↑,
57', Nisbet K. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
57', Keskinen T. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
59', Shinnie G. 🟨,
59', Thorarinsson G. ↓, Oshima T. ↑,
63', Milne J. 🟨,
65', Aouchiche A. ↓, Clarkson L. ↑,
70', Lobban D. ↓, Milanovic N. ↑,
74', Milanovic N. 🟨,
80', Ferreira H. ↓, Hambardzumyan H. ↑,
86', Sangare G. ↓, Jakolis M. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Aberdeen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Aberdeen: Tobers K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Noah: Gregorio G. (Knee Injury) Zolotic N. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Aberdeen: Dorrington A. (Inactive) Nilsen S. (Inactive) Palaversa A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Noah: Harutyunyan H. (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
23.11.25	Aberdeen - Hearts	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Aberdeen - Motherwell	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	AEK Larnaca - Aberdeen	0:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
29.10.25	Kilmarnock - Aberdeen	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Aberdeen - Hibernian	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WTTWL
- FC Noah Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
22.11.25	Noah Yerevan - Alashkert	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Noah Yerevan - Sigma Olomouc	1:2 ✺
Armenian Premier League
01.11.25	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Ararat - Noah Yerevan	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Universitatea Craiova - Noah Yerevan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWT

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