Match Info

SCOTLAND: Premiership - Round 21

Date: 2 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
Nigeria	Red TV
United-kingdom	RedTV


	Aberdeen		Ross County

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	5	Watch
	1.68	3.8	4.6
	1.72	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.9	5.03	Watch
	1.7	3.8	5
	1.7	3.92	5.16	Watch
	1.72	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.5)	3.82 ↓ (4.3)	4.9 ↓ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberdeen
55.9%

Draw
24.8%

Ross County
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.8%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

21.4%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aberdeen's form might have worsened.

Ross County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aberdeen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	6.5%	9.7%

Aberdeen - Ross County Predictions

Users Predictions: Aberdeen will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Doohan R. (G) 2. Devlin N. 27. MacDonald A. 21. Molloy G. 3. MacKenzie J. 11. Duk 10. Clarkson L. 7. McGrath J. 4. Shinnie G. (C) 81. Keskinen T. 19. Sokler E.	18. Amissah J. (G) 4. Wright A. 20. Lopata K. 3. Leak R. 2. Brown J. 24. Efete M. 42. Kenneh N. 8. Randall C. 10. Chilvers N. 23. Nisbet J. 26. White J.
Substitutes
32. Ambrose P. 30. Boyd F. 44. Enem V. 15. McGarry J. 20. Morris S. 9. Nisbet K. 8. Polvara D. 25. Ritchie T. (G) 35. Stewart A.	6. Allardice S. 27. Brophy E. 14. Grieves J. 9. Hale R. 22. Hamilton J. (G) 16. Harmon G. 7. Loturi V. 43. Reid J. 21. Telfer Ch.
Coaches
Thelin J.	Cowie D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', Keskinen T. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Wright A. ⚽, Chilvers N. (A),
30', Sokler E. ↓, Nisbet K. ↑,
31', Brown J. 🟨,
44', Efete M. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
45+11', 1 - 1, Nisbet K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 2, Chilvers N. ⚽, Harmon G. (A),
66', Chilvers N. 🟨,
70', McGrath J. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
74', Leak R. ↓, Telfer Ch. ↑,
77', Duk 🟨,
79', MacKenzie J. ↓, McGarry J. ↑,
79', Clarkson L. ↓, Polvara D. ↑,
79', Duk ↓, Ambrose P. ↑,
81', Kenneh N. ↓, Allardice S. ↑,
81', Nisbet J. ↓, Hale R. ↑,
90+6', Lopata K. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aberdeen won 4.

Aberdeen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ross County is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Aberdeen is a favorite.

There will not play in Aberdeen: Gueye P. (Muscle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Aberdeen won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 37:18 (average 1.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Aberdeen won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:6 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
29.12.24	Dundee United - Aberdeen	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Kilmarnock - Aberdeen	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Aberdeen - Hibernian	1:3 ✺
07.12.24	Aberdeen - St. Johnstone	1:1 ✺
04.12.24	Aberdeen - Celtic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Ross County
Scottish Premier League
29.12.24	Ross County - Hearts	2:2 ✺
26.12.24	Dundee - Ross County	0:3 ✺
21.12.24	Ross County - St. Mirren	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Hibernian - Ross County	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Ross County - Glasgow Rangers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
31.08.24	Ross County - Aberdeen	0:1
19.05.24	Ross County - Aberdeen	2:2
30.03.24	Aberdeen - Ross County	2:1
02.01.24	Ross County - Aberdeen	0:3
Scottish League Cup
27.09.23	Ross County - Aberdeen	1:2
Scottish Premier League
24.09.23	Aberdeen - Ross County	4:0
14.04.23	Ross County - Aberdeen	0:1

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