Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 24

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Abertillery Bluebirds		Carmarthen Town

	1	X	2
	5.69	5.12	1.36
	6.65	5	1.34
	6.2	4.9	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.18 ↑ (5.88)	5.01 ↓ (5.14)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abertillery Bluebirds
14.7%

Draw
18.1%

Carmarthen Town
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

17.8%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

17.1%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abertillery Bluebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abertillery Bluebirds than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Abertillery Bluebirds is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carmarthen Town is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Carmarthen Town is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Abertillery Bluebirds won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abertillery Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
10.02.24	Llantwit Major - Abertillery Bluebirds	3:2 ✺
03.02.24	Abertillery Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	0:3 ✺
27.01.24	Carmarthen Town - Abertillery Bluebirds	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Abertillery Bluebirds	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Abertillery Bluebirds - Llanelli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LLLWT
- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
10.02.24	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	1:1 ✺
02.02.24	Afan Lido - Carmarthen Town	4:1 ✺
27.01.24	Carmarthen Town - Abertillery Bluebirds	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
12.01.24	Cambrian United - Carmarthen Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
27.01.24	Carmarthen Town - Abertillery Bluebirds	1:0

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